Impacts on California Housing and Real Estate

The 2015 California Association of REALTORS annual conference took place in Anaheim last week.  As always, the annual market forecast was given, and these are just some of the highlights from over 128 slides used in the presentation by the Association's Chief Economist:

• Millennials delaying “adulthood”: Getting married later or not at all; Student loans; dim job prospects.
• Homeownership rate for 18-34-year-olds still falling.
• Household formation is VERY slow.
• Baby boomers delaying “retirement” and staying put longer; they will love their loans when rates do rise.

     First time buyers:

·        Lack of a down-payment.

·        Lack of information about the home-buying process.

·        Average age of first time buyers is between 35 and 43 years.

·        Overall Market information:

·        In Los Angeles County, distressed sales are now 7.6% (August 2014) vs. 36% (August 2012), and figures are even lower in Orange County.

·        In 2007 and 2008, inventory was at 16 months, in August 2014 inventory supply is at 4 months.

·        California homeownership rate is lower than the U.S. rate, just above 50% vs. 65%.

·        Los Angeles metro region is one of 3 lowest housing affordability areas in the State, but the median California house payment and minimum qualifying income are still well below the peak market.

·        Decline in multiple offers.

·        Share of cash buyers is lowest since 2009.

·        Share of FHA buyers at 16% in 2014, but lowest figure since 2007.

·        One-third of the international buyers are from China, next are India and Canada.

·        Sales volume down and prices up (5%-14%) in all Southern California counties.

·        Millennial (ages 18-34) homeownership falling, and younger buyers continue to decline.

·        Three-quarters of millennials not married--this historically impacts household formation.

But, per a REALTOR survey of 18-34 year-old adults, "More than half (54 percent) gave homeownership an importance rating of “8” or higher on a scale of 1-10, with 1 being “not at all important” and 10 being “extremely important.”  The biggest advantages they see in homeownership are the freedom to do what they want with the property, privacy, and the satisfaction of ownership". And aren't those the reasons why people buy homes?

Last but not least is the projected picture for the coming year where the median home price on a statewide level will increase to $478,000; the housing affordability index will be at 27%, and sales volume will increase to a higher level than 2014.  

What do you think about where the market is headed?

2015 California Market Forecast

Governor Jerry Brown Signs Bill to Stop Tax on Loan Modifications

If the principal on your mortgage was reduced in a loan modification, a new law may lower your taxes. Governor Jerry Brown recently signed AB 1393 (Perea), legislation that will prevent homeowners from being charged state income tax when they’ve had a mortgage loan modified to reduce the principal. Under current law, the forgiven debt created by a reduction in principal as a result of a loan modification isn’t subject to federal income tax, but is currently taxable under state law. The law will become effective immediately and is retroactive to January 1, 2014. This is great news for homeowners.

What Is The January 2015 Market Doing in Long Beach, Cerritos, Lakewood and Rossmoor?

Here is a brief summary of January 2015 sales, compared to January 2014:

Long Beach - Median sales price for a single family home: $481,000 (up 5.8%), housing inventory down 22%, with only 2.2 months supply of inventory on the market.

Cerritos - Median sales price for a single family home: $602,000 (up 3%), housing inventory down 9% with only 2.1 month supply of inventory on the market.

Lakewood - Median sales price for a single family home: $443,500 (up 3%), housing inventory down 44%, with 1.4 months supply of inventory on the market.

Rossmoor - Median sales price for a single family home: $807,500 (up from $800,000), housing inventory still at 2.6 months supply of inventory on the market.

By checking points along the graph, prior months' sales prices are seen. Long Beach and Cerritos are down, Lakewood and Rossmoor are up. This is a live graph, and is updated with each month's sales.

Would you like to know what buyers" home buying motivations are? Buyers who purchased brand new homes did so because of fewer electrical and plumbing problems. Sellers who take this and other items into account when preparing their home for sale are less likely to get a laundry list of repairs desired by buyers.

NAR's 2014 Profile of Buyers and Sellers

California Home Equity is Up, But Distressed Owners Are Still Among Us

Distressed property owners have not disappeared totally.  A review of the Los Angeles County tax records today for the entire Long Beach area shows 257 residential properties in pre-foreclosure status.  Who's represented?  Property owners in all zip codes and while I didn't make an exact count, adjustable mortgages seemed to predominate.  This is unfortunate, because while many more owners are now benefiting from the upward trend in values, many are still affected by loss of job or short term jobs or lower paying jobs in the face of an upward increase in their mortgage, just to name a few reasons.

Owners who have attempted loan modifications may not have met all the hardship requirements, or they do not have enough income to refinance under today's more stringent-i.e., traditional-loan guidelines. And so, like the TV advertisements show us, they "freeze" up, unable to take action, and unable to come to the decision they might need to sell and relocate.  If you or someone you know falls into this category, short of finding a financial benefactor, the choices may be to sell, go into foreclosure, or continue to struggle if you possibly can.  One of the dividing lines for being eligible for loan modification or short sale assistance is whether or not your property value is still (much) lower than what you owe, OR you have experienced a qualified economic hardship.

Under a current California program, an owner may be eligible for up to $5,000 in transition assistance, loan principal reduction, unemployment mortgage assistance, and loan reinstatement assistance.  Also, Bank of America and other banks still offer their transition assistance programs for people in short sales. This program does not do loan modifications--for that you need to go directly to your servicer--but it does offer 4 other types of help.

For more information on this program, go to http://keepyourhomecalifornia.org, a program run by California Housing Finance Agency (CalHFA) with $2 billion in funds through the Hardest Hit Fund of the U.S.Treasury.  The site includes all information about eligibility, the participating servicers, and income requirements.  Over 43,000 California homeowners have been helped. 

Prices Continue Up for June in Many Cities, But Sales Volume Way Down

Average single family home prices in June, 2014, and the increase or decrease compared directly to June of one year ago (prices may differ from overall annualized price), plus stats on closed sales and days on market (DOM).  Actual number and percentage of sales are down (see red column), a lot; properties are usually spending more time on the market before going into escrow (last column); and the average house price, on a citywide basis, is higher than one year ago.  The percentage increase in price, however, is lower compared to May's increases, in many areas. (P.S. See my new Metro Summary page for Long Beach region info for July).
     

Cerritos	$739,333	+10.8%	Closed Sales	-40%	DOM +27.8%
Lakewood	$463,096	+7%	Closed Sales	-32%	DOM +8%
Long Beach	$555,496	+17%	Closed Sales	-28.4%	DOM +58%
Los Alamitos	$726,667	+9%	Closed Sales	-57%	DOM +72%
Seal Beach	$1,021,223	+14%	Closed Sales	-20%	DOM -33.3%
Signal Hill	$655,000	+7%	Closed Sales	-75%	DOM +87%
Huntington Beach	$920,396	+19%	Closed Sales	-21%	DOM +68%
Norwalk	$340,943	+9%	Closed Sales	-8%	DOM +5%
Downey	$444,903	+8%	Closed Sales	-24%	DOM +59%
Garden Grove	$503,922	+15%	Closed Sales	-58%	DOM -9%

Thinking of Taking Money Out of Your California 1031 Exchange? Do It The Right Way

A basic feature/requirements of 1031 exchanges is that the taxpayer doing the exchange cannot have access to their funds--that's why there's an accommodator, or "qualified intermediary" (QI).  In real estate, 1031 exchanges are allowed where the property owner has not lived in the property as a principal residence, but has owned it usually as some form of income or investment property. There are certain exceptions to this, but they will not be covered here.  Just know that the rules surrounding IRS 1031 exchanges are specific and detailed, and must be complied with to the letter.  A principal 1031 exchange benefit is in deferring capital gains taxes on the sale of property by shifting funds into a new purchase, also a non-owner occupied property.  For a property owner who bought in a low market, and is selling in a much higher market, the tax savings can be significant. Simply, in this type of transaction, the taxpayer is not allowed access to funds which are handled through the QI, unless there is an agreement that the taxpayer is taking money out of the first sale, known as "boot", which will not be used in the acquisition of the next property.

As previously covered in other posts, the State of California wants all of the money it's entitled to, so recently a tax audit of an exchange failed because the State said the taxpayer didn't follow the 1031 exchange agreement.  So that means the taxpayer is now probably paying a lot of taxes which otherwise would not have been the case.  The State didn't like the taxpayer giving the escrow officer, not the QI, instructions to exclude $150,000 from the purchase of the next property and send it over to the taxpayer.  The Franchise Tax Board said the taxpayer thus really had access to the funds, which he/she was not supposed to have, and so the exchange was violated.

Moral of this story:  If you're doing a 1031 exchange transaction and you want to take out money from it, make sure it's included in the actual written agreement with the QI, because the QI is who is responsible for handling all funds in the exchange, not the escrow officer. Make sure you are using an experienced and known professional accommodator, are following the advice of an experienced tax professional, and are working with an experienced REALTOR as well.  It could make a huge difference to your bottom line.  Read more at Asset Preservation.

New Listing: Long Beach, 7027 E Keynote St., Carson Park, Large Single Family House!

7027 E Keynote, Long Beach CA

Just Listed -

Here is a spacious 4 bedroom home in East Long Beach with 2 baths and a large family room at 7027 E Keynote St, Long Beach 90808.

With two bedrooms and one bath downstairs, this could be ideal for an extended family or one with older children staying at home.

Low maintenance rear area is great for a spa addition, and side yard could easily be fully enclosed for a pet area.

This home shows as 2402 sq.ft per the tax assessor, features forced air heating, wet bar and large brick fireplace in the family room, an inside storage area, and a remodeled kitchen enlarged from the original 1953 floor plan; it also includes cable TV and FiOS wiring. The inside laundry room includes the washer and dryer.

The quieter interior block location is off the busy streets, yet not too far from freeway access.  Two schools are just a few blocks away and within walking distance.  A great neighborhood for walking and bicycling.  See more at www.juliahuntsman.com "Featured Properties".  Lic #01188996

As of July 15, 2014, offer price is $575,000. Sold 10/30/2014

Maternity Leave is NOT a Reason to Not Get Your Mortgage

#120906801 / gettyimages.com

Every day we are hearing that many buyers are having a tough time getting a mortgage, and there are real reasons lenders are not giving out loans to certain buyers. But one thing that's not supposed to be happening is discrimination:

Several banks, including Bank of America, PNC Mortgage, Cornerstone Mortgage, and at least one insurer, MGIC, have been found guilty have been penalized for delaying or denying applicants because of pregnancy and/or upcoming maternity leave. We thought such discrimination was behind us, but apparently not.

Lenders see a time of reduced income, and assuming this, have been denying mortgage approvals.  Apparently quite a few women have complained, because the insurer MGIC was guilty of denials for at least 70 women.  Mountain America Credit Union, based in Utah, was also found guilty, in addition to other mortgage insurers.

In spite of the numbers of working mothers in this country, some lenders still believe that a woman's commitment to the workplace diminishes after having a child.  According to MomsRising, a  national advocacy group, three quarters of all mothers are working women.

However, federal law assures an applicant: “Any denial or delay of a mortgage application, according to fair lending regulations, violates the federal Fair Housing Act, which prohibits any form of unequal treatment based on gender or familial status”. 

HUD and the Department of Justice have levied monetary penalties against the offenders, even though they say they are following underwriting guidelines and have done nothing wrong.

Ironically, lenders DO NOT accept the birth of a child as a reason for reduced income or any other financial impact when a distressed borrower applies for a short sale from a lender , so why is it being given as a reason for denial of loan approval?

See this article by Ken Harney: http://www.latimes.com/business/realestate/la-fi-harney-20140706-story.html 

Long Beach Concerts in the Park for 2014

Long Beach Concerts in the Park for 2014 begins this week in various locations in the City. Please check the link below for complete information.


Week 1 - July 1 through July 4
LET FREEDOM RING


Week 2 - July 8 through July 11
BROADWAY SPECTACULARS

Week 3 - July 15 through July 18
DIXIELAND JAM AND RAGTIME REVIEW 

Week 4 - July 22 through July 25
VIVA LA FIESTA

Week 5 - July 29 through August 1
GERSHWIN!

http://www.longbeach.gov/park/recreation/lb_municipal_band.asp

So Cal Cities Update - Long Beach Region

Happy 4th of July!

 




Average single family home prices in May, 2014, and increase/decrease from one year ago (prices may differ from overall annualized price):

Cerritos:                 $644,036, +9%
Lakewood:             $479,462, +10%
Long Beach:           $534,617, +4%
Los Alamitos:         $641,000, -16%
Seal Beach:             $989,577, +20%
Signal Hill:              $630,500, -10%
Huntington Beach:  $849,050, +2%
Norwalk:                 $362,598, +12%
Downey:                 $476,152, +19%
Garden Grove:        $495,475, 14%