Reopening Guidelines for California Real Estate

 

As of June 15, 0pen house and property showing restrictions are mostly removed--
no physical distancing, no cleanings, no posted rules for entry, and happily, no PEAD forms (required before showing each and every property).  

But unless entrants are fully vaccinated, masks are still required indoors.  Additionally, sellers may impose their rules for property entry if they wish, i.e., require masks for everyone who enters.  

Door knocking and handing out flyers in the neighborhoods are once again permitted (unless of course one sees a sign to the contrary at the property).  See more information at California Dept of Public Health.

 

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

California April Sales and Prices, Higher Than Ever

 Inventory, Inventory, Inventory. There's less of it, and yet.... not everything is selling within 7 days. If you are interested in selling or buying and would like more in depth information about the current market in Southern California for residential properties, just contact me via phone or text. 

Why there are fewer homes on the market has more than one possible answer, but this shortage has grown since 2012, back when 6 months inventory was more the norm, not 1.6 months. 

Last September, Long Beach had 2 months supply of homes on the market, in April 2021 it was 1.1 months.  And this is the time of year when we traditionally see much higher inventory.  In the last 7 days, 79 homes and condos came on the market, but 77 closed in the same period, and 120 went into escrow.  So the new listings are not keeping up with the overall sold volume.  

To help the situation for some reluctant sellers, the passage of Proposition 19 can assist for certain age 55-and-over sellers, or disabled, or natural disaster victims, who want to minimize a change in their property taxes if they choose to move.   Or, if you plan on relocating, study in advance the areas that may be economic advantage to move to. And for certain sellers, a purchase with a reverse mortgage can be an option.  Selling first before buying is the most optimal for sellers, but if you  can't, you want to make sure that finding a new property is a #contingency in the contract with the buyer.

Buyers who are willing to accept a property that needs some work that fits in their budget may actually be able to find the right home.  Some of those properties have been sitting on the market for a while longer and without the fierce competition of multiple bids.  And feel free to use the property search tool on the site below.

 For more market information about your area of interest, please contact me via phone, text or email.

 Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

Buyers Feeling Squeezed in This Market, or "What is an Escalation Clause"?

With multiple offers, lowered inventory, and 15 minute showings, buyers have been under considerable competition and pressure so far in 2021.  In order to "weed out" the offers, sellers have been making certain requests, or buyers with several times losing out experiences have voluntarily been relinquishing their standard contingencies.  How?  By upping their offer price (even $100,000 over list price), shortening physical inspection time periods (i.e., 17 day to 10 days, or less), removing appraisal contingencies (putting their deposit at risk if they back out over a low appraisal), as examples.  

Another form of competition is an "escalation clause".   This is where the buyer offers, or the seller counter offers, to automatically increase the price by a certain amount, say $1,000, over any other offer. Of course, without any other language added, the buyer could be forced into paying $1,000 over another bidder offering $50,000 over list price--can the buyer really afford that? Well, what if the buyer puts in a "not to exceed" a certain price?  But now the seller know that buyer's maximum bid, and could use it as leverage to obtain higher amounts from other buyers.

If the buyer offers a "floor price" or $1,000 over the highest offer, the buyer may end up paying a higher price if no other offer matches the buyer's floor price.

To not blindly make offers using one of the above methods, the buyer should include language in their offer or counter offer that "the buyer  receive a copy of the highest offer (upon acceptance) and that the buyer has a right to contact that other buyer or their agent to verify that they made a bona fide offer," or words to that effect.

But California Association of Realtors cautions buyers about making offers with escalation clauses, stating that the enforceability of such offers is not 100% assured, and the buyer is advised to obtain legal advice prior to making such an offer.

For a the complete Guide, please contact me by phone or email.

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

A Strong Percentage of Homes Are Selling Above Asking Price

In January, 2021, over 56% of homes statewide sold over the asking price.  This is according to a Southern California April presentation by a California Association of Realtors economist as shown in the slides to the right.

The over-asking statistics may vary in areas, so for example, in a combined look at 180 sales of condos and houses between 4/8 and 4/15 in the 10 cities of Bellflower, Cypress, Harbor City, Long Beach, Carson, Torrance, Lakewood, Lomita, San Pedro, and Signal Hill*:

71% (approx.) or 127 homes out of 180 sold over asking.  

7% (approx.) or 12 homes sold at original list price.

19% (approx.) or 35 homes sold under original list price.

In lower prices starting at $300,000, the increase may be $900 to $15,000; in the $500,000 range the increase in closing price grew in some cases to over $50,000 higher, and in the $1,000,000+ category it may $150,000 higher.  However, one single family home listed in Long Beach for $595,000 recently closed at $700,000. 

For sellers such overbids may help them more easily into their next purchase, but for the huge number of first time buyers looking for opportunity with very low interest rates, there is much frustration. On many properties, multiple offers abound, often 15-20 offers from which the seller may pick, sometimes outright, sometimes countering back to a select group of buyers.

In a March 2021 Google Consumer poll, 64% of sellers thought it was a good time to  sell, while 28% of buyers thought it was a good time to buy. In 2020 however, 44% of buyers had more than a 20% down payment, and obviously many of them have the ability to bid some much higher prices to beat out the competition.  This leads to another issue:  appraisals.  Not all overbid prices are appraising, leading buyers to come up with more money, and how some are doing this is detailed in this article about the appraisal gap.

Who's not buying so much? Rental property investors, as COVID issues came to the frontline.

What will make the situation easier in the future?  Rising interest rates, more housing inventory, and an ongoing improving economy.
 

*as reported in CRMLS 

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

Housing Supply Stats for Los Angeles County, as of February 2021

LA County 2/21 Housing Supply

This graphic for Los Angeles County quickly shows a 27% decrease in listings compared to February of 2020.  This is a theme repeated over and over throughout other cities and the state. The top right bar graphs show in green where listings are this year compared to last year in red.  Last year's Time Trend show the huge dip as the pandemic conditions were being dealt with, and then an increase above the line  for 2021, but no where near the activity for 2020, shown in green bars. 

The pricing on Active Listings demonstrates the under-$200,000 market is very slim, with approximately one-third of the market priced between $300,000-$750,000, another (approximately) one-third between $1.0 million to $1.5 million, and the remaining third priced over $2,000,000.  All price ranges see a decrease in numbers of listings, but the largest deficit is in the lowest end of the market.

 

 

In the Home Price Interactive, the bottom right graph

Income vs. loan payment, LA County

shows how income has risen in Los Angeles County since before 2000, from $35,000 annually, up to the present $75,000 annual income.  But the payment line (green) has dipped up and down over time, reflecting the downtimes of the Great Recession and foreclosures after 2007, and  recovery period after that.  But according to this graph, the difference between current mortgage payment levels and annual income is at a midpoint, similar to the loan payment-annual income scenario prior to 2000.

 

 

 

 

 For a home valuation, please go to my website for an automated valuation, or contact me directly for a comparative market analysis.

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

Fire Protection: Home Hardening Law for 2021 in California

Are you a property owner who's considered fire resistant materials for your home? If you already have made certain changes, you're probably closer to protecting your property in case of wildfire. Wildfires are not just in a certain part of the state, for instance, they could happen anywhere you live near brush and vegetation. A new law came into effect January 1, 2021 that requires a disclosure for properties that are:

• Within high or very high fire hazard zones 

• Built before 2010 

• Residential one to four properties; condominiums or other common interest development units; or manufactured homes    

The fire zones are disclosed in the natural hazard disclosure statements required in property transactions, where the box is checked on the form for which zone(s) the property is in.  Natural Hazard Disclosure reports and statements, required in California, are most often completed by professional sources which assume the liability for and have access to statewide reports concerning the hazard zones and required disclosures in California law.  California Association of Realtors now includes a disclosure form for sellers as part of their transactional documentation in a sale to cover requirements under the new law.

Fire hardening measures include Class A fire rate roofing materials (composition, tiles, steel), using 1/8" mesh at chimneys and vents, using screens over rain gutters, keeping vegetation at least 5 feet from the property, and multi-paned tempered glass.  

Parts of Los Angeles and Orange Counties may be significant for taking measures, but even in non-high-fire zones, they are a good idea for overall home maintenance and protection.

CalFire's website https://www.readyforwildfire.org/ contains this agency's advice on preparing for wildfire.

 Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

2020 Single Family Review for Los Angeles County

LA County House Snapshot for 2020

Last year saw a  consistent dip in all housing metrics after the beginning of the pandemic shutdown, but then a recovery began mid-year that hasn't stopped since.  The current market is marked with multiple offers and prices shooting upward since the end of January 2021.  The close of February showed an average house price for the County sitting at $1,232,890, an increase of 23% over one year ago, while the median price was $830,000.  February's average County-wide home price of $1,232,890 exceeds any average home price since 2008 and before. Some of the properties are seeing an increase of $50,000 sale price over list price, while others are  selling at or just above list price; one property in California Heights in Long Beach was listed at $699,000 and sold for $850,000.  It's not unusual for 15-20 offers or more, for houses that are move-in ready and partially or fully upgraded.  Months inventory, meaning how many houses are actually available for sale, is critically low, and it is this low inventory that fuels the upward price surge.  For January and February, months supply is 1.8 months (normal inventory supply is 6 months, but that's been gone since 2012).  Interest rates have been well below 3%, but with a recent increase in rates, mortgage applications have slowed. 

If you would like a market evaluation for your home or condominium, please contact me.  It's an ideal time to sell.

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

How Is Housing So Strong Right Now?

If you're a potential buyer or seller sometime in the past year, you've had some experience with Property Entry and Advisory Declaration (PEAD) forms, required for all prospective buyers to sign before entering a listed home on the market. 

PEAD Data

To backtrack a little, both the national and California economies have recovered, and COVID figures are on the decrease at this time.  Looking back to Feb.-April of 2020, earning data shows that job losses for people earning over $100,000 annually were at 12%; job losses for earners under $100,000 annually were at 88% -- the retail, food industry and other service jobs were the hardest hit, while the other job categories over $100,000 income were not hit nearly as hard.  Interest rates are at historic lows and are likely to stay that way for sometime to come.  Mortgage applications dipped last Spring, but climbed way up in January 2021, all of which is fueling home sales in 2021.  California saw a 22% increase over last year in number of homes sold, over 484,000 in one month (but compare to January of 2005 when over 600,000 sold).  

In December, 2020, total California home price rose to $717,930 (+16.8% from last year); fueled also by low inventory (-48%), leading to median of 11 days on market and a list-to-sales-price ratio of  100.1% (+1.9%). 

Southern California home prices have increased to $650,000, overall, over 16% since one year ago,  and sales have increased 13% year over year: By county, OC at $971,000; LA at $697,660; Riverside $495,500; San Bernardino $390,000; San Diego $730,000; Ventura $776,000.

This is the strongest growth in California in 7 years.

Only 5% of sales are all cash, but two of five homes were sold to first time homebuyers.  And 33% of those 1st timers had more than 20% down payment!!  Yes, parents, friends and family are helping them out. 

So as the charts above show, showing traffic shows the homebuying momentum as the PEAD forms are tracked in various counties.  Lately the showing pattern is: put home on market mid-week, showings take place at 15 minute intervals Friday, Saturday, Sunday, offers are due in Sunday or Monday, by Wednesday of the following week, the buyer is found.  Needless to say, winning offers are completely documented with solid loan pre-approvals and proofs of funds.  This is a hectic time for buyers who must compete and be prepared (on some properties) to overbid. 

With the lowest housing supply in years, most sellers who can think about making a change will get showing activity.  If you're wanting a home value estimate, this is a good time to contact a Realtor.

See the complete housing report here
 

 

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

Long Beach Sales Volume and Price Comparisons in 2020

2019-2020 Sales Volume Comparison, Long Beach

As broken down by area, the highest number of sales for 2019 and 2020 took place in the North Long Beach area, followed by the Bixby area and Lakewood Plaza.   Most areas had fewer sales in 2020, but Belmont Shore/Naples areas actually had higher sales volume in 2020 compared to 2019.

See how average Long Beach single family home price (blue) rose in 2020 compared to 2019 with lower inventory (green) for single family homes! The top average in 2019 was under $800,000, whereas the top average in 2020 was just under $1,000,000. The Corona virus and the restrictions placed on how homes were to be shown (for the really motivated buyers and sellers) the market prices continued upward, fueled by the lowest inventory and lowest rates seen in recent times.

 

2020 Average sales price Long Beach

2019 Average sales price Long Beach

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

New Real Estate Laws Which Might Affect You in 2021

 Condominium or other homeowner association homeowners may be accustomed to establishing the number of rentals allowed in the association, but under AB 3182, the common interested development must now allow at

Happy 2021!

least 25 percent of owners to rent or lease out their units starting January 1, 2021, regardless of whether the HOA has formally amended their governing documents. This also includes ADUs related to the property:  if the owner occupies his own unit then renting out a space within the unit, an ADU or junior ADU must be permitted. No matter what, the existing rights that owners currently enjoy to rent out their units cannot be changed. Thus in a 30 unit building, 25% of the units is 8 (rounded up from 7.5) which may now be allowed to rent out, regardless of what current rules or CCRs state.

 Rent moratorium and other state and local laws affecting landlords and tenants are in effect, or may soon expire.  They are numerous and complex, so without mentioning them further here (AB3088 and SB 1079 would be two of those laws), any landlord or tenant is advised to consult with their local city and/or county, and/or apartment association attorney, before selling, renting, raising rents, or evicting concerning his/her property.

The law authorizing the revocable transfer on death deed which allows a transfer of property by deed to a named beneficiary has been extended for another year.  (SB1305). This is another legal instrument which the property owner is wise to seek some legal advice about before making such a transfer.

Home hardening disclosure which requires a seller of a home built before 2010 in a designated high or very high fire area to povide a buyer with documentation that it is in compliance with local laws about vegetation management and defensible spaces. Look for more information here from Cal Fire https://www.readyforwildfire.org/.

 AB1885 increases the homestead exemption to $300,000 or the countywide median sale price of a single family home, whichever is greater, not to exceed $600,000.  In Los Angeles County, that would be $600,000.  Existing law exempted $75000 to $175,000 (depending on residents' situation) of a home's equity from a judgment debt.  The new law increases this equity exemption amount to the higher levels, and will be adjusted annually for inflation.

AB2463 prevents foreclosure of a principal place of residence based on a judgment lien if it was based on consumer debt. 

This is only a portion of new laws affecting California property owners, for instance the new laws passed under Proposition 19 have been discussed in 2 earlier posts.  For a complete list and more explanation of new laws concerning renting and rent control, consumer privacy act, foreclosure forbearance, exemption from reassessment after a declared disaster, and more, please contact me for a digital copy.

 

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996