Showing posts with label Absorption Rate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Absorption Rate. Show all posts

3/10/2009

The Long Beach Market Inventory Slips Below 6 Months Supply

For February 2009, out of 11 zip codes in this report for Long Beach, only one zip code area had slightly more than 6 months' supply of inventory--in some areas the inventory for detached housing was as low as 1.6 months supply. This is a definite decrease from December 2008 when the months' inventory spread was from 2.9 to a high of 9.1 months of supply.

For attached housing (i.e., condos) the inventory supply is more: Across the same zip codes, the months' supply extended from 2.0 to 7.6, with the biggest inventory for condos under $400,000.

Comparing all of Long Beach to detached properties (houses) in other cities, Long Beach has 3 months inventory supply overall, which is more than La Palma, Cypress, Lakewood, Cerritos, La Mirada, Buena Park and Norwalk have, in that order. La Palma is down to .9 months of inventory left, overall. However, certain price categories may be different than the overall picture: for instance, houses in the $300,000 to $400,000 price range in Cerritos have 6 months, the greatest amount of supply, with some higher price ranges down to 1.1 months of inventory supply.

As you might already know, the 6 month line in real estate cycles is nationally considered the benchmark between a buyer's or a seller's market, so for some locations in these cities, choice for a buyer may now be more critical than in the past 2-3 years. "Supply and demand in the housing market is considered balanced when the inventory settles at about six months," according to the National Association of Realtors.

At least two reasons for this decline in inventory are great difficulty for buyer qualification for loans and loan origination guidelines which are increasingly stringent; and/or sellers not getting their price and thus taking properties off the market.

So for sellers who are ready to take advantage of this market, whether you're selling short or you've got equity, you may find a buyer!

4/25/2008

Orange County Sales Are Moving Up

Is 23% the critical number for Orange County sales? Yesterday I got all excited about an Orange County Register article by Jonathan Lansner entitled "Homebuying demand jumps 23%, expert says: Wave of first-time buyers causes number of properties in escrow to soar vs. a year ago" and went looking for the link online. Had a hard time finding that article online, but found this byline about LA/OC home prices by Mr. Lansner as being down 23% this year. In spite of that, here's a quote from the article,
"Demand for Orange County housing is growing, according to Steve Thomas at Re/Max Real Estate Services in Aliso Viejo. As of Thursday, 2,374 houses and condominiums had gone into escxrow in the past 30 days, a 23 percent gain vs. a year ago."

Market absorption time is reportedly 6.55 months at the current rate if all properties currently in escrow are sold, a much shorter period of time than 10-11 months inventory supply in other markets.

If anyone finds the online article, please let me know!

'Voice this!

4/09/2008

Long Beach Market Absorption Rates



The absorption rate is how long the current inventory will remain on the market at the current rate of selling. In all price ranges shown, there are more properties currently in escrow than have closed escrow in the last 30 days. Hopefully that means that the economic stimulus package and temporary increase in loan amounts is bringing a surge in activity.

Here are several different listing and selling price range categories for all properties (commercial/residential but mostly residential including large multiunits) in Long Beach listed on the MLS as of 4/9/2008:
346 E Carroll Park
$1 million plus listing price:
260 active listings; 10 sold in the last 30 days at an average of 107 days on the market; Market Absorption Rate is 26 months. But in this price range there are currently 26 in escrow (backup and pending).

$600,000-$699,000 listing price:
207 active listings; 17 sold in the last 30 days at an average of 76 days on the market; Market Absorption Rate is 12 months. There are 34 in escrow (backup and pending).

$500,000-$599,000 listing price:
296 active listings; 31 sold in the last 30 days at an average of 98 days on the market; Market Absorption Rate is 9.5 months. Currently there are 56 in escrow.

$400,000-$499,000 listing price:
433 active listings; 41 sold in the last 30 days at an average of 87 days on the market; Market Absorption Rate is 10.5 months. Currently there are 88 in escrow.
1044 E 2nd St #11
$300,000-$399,000 listing price:
476 active listings; 29 sold in the last 30 days at an average of 75 days on the market; Market Absorption Rate is 16 months. Currently there are 75 in escrow.

Per the MLS, there are 2664 active listings and 443 properties in escrow in Long Beach.
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