Distressed vs. Equity Market in the Long Beach Area

There seems to be a perception (among some people) that high end or "luxury" areas are somehow immune to short sales and foreclosures--but that's not true. The subprime loans, originally targeted for "B" and "C" borrowers, eventually made their way into the "A" borrower range, the borrowers most often buying in the high end price range, because of the tempting terms offered by lenders at the time.  Other factors for distressed sales in those areas are that the accumulated market conditions caused job layoffs or other income reduction, and/or the market value drop caused a short sale or foreclosure in a forced relocation for a borrower otherwise current on mortgage payment. In the high end market areas, many sellers with equity who could not sell simply delayed their plans and took the home off the market if it didn't sell.  But others who needed to sell proceeded with a short sale listing, hoping to find a buyer.

• For all of 2011, in the 90803 zip code (Naples, Belmont Shore, Bluff Park, Belmont Park, Belmont Heights), approximately 28% of single family homes in the $440,000 to $1.4 million market sold under distressed property conditions. Out of 172 single family home sales listed in the MLS, 47 were designated as a distressed property sale, most of those being short sales.   Condos distressed sales for 2011 were 37 out of 122, or 30% of the condo market in 90803.
• In the 90814 zip code (Alamitos Heights, and adjacent areas), 34% of single family homes in the $400,000-$900,000 range sold as distressed properties in 2011.

These figures are lower than Long Beach as a whole for 2011, where according to the MLS, 46% of all single family homes sold in Long Beach sold under distressed property conditions.  (These figures for all areas may be lower than the true picture, because some properties are listed as "standard sale" when in fact they are recently foreclosed properties being re-sold by banks which impose their own contract conditions upon the buyer--so they really aren't a standard sales according to standard Realtor contract terms.)

• In Cerritos, approximately 33% of single family homes listed in the MLS, or 77 out of a total of 231, sold as distressed properties in 2011.
• Lakewood's distressed single family home sales in 2011 constituted 47% of all single family home sales, comparable to the entire city of Long Beach for distressed home sales.

There really isn't any place that is immune to this category of transaction, certainly not in Southern California. For a consultation about your residential property value, and what you may be able to do, please contact me, or visit my website at www.juliahuntsman.com at "Help for Homeowners".  Don't be one of the potential sellers who does not investigate all options, the bank would really rather have a sold property, a modified loan, a re-finance, rather than a foreclosed property--it helps their values as well.

What Will the Loan Amount Reduction to $625,500 Do to Local Markets?

Today I was contacted by a Los Angeles Times housing market reporter covering the market on new loan amounts coming into effect soon.  It's really hard to say exactly what the outcome will be, but one thing is certain: California really doesn't need any more uncertainty or instability in its housing market.  Legislators elsewhere really do not seem to be very concerned, probably because the vast majority of them do not have a home to sell in California.

Single family homes in the high end market of 90803 and 90814 may feel the cut in loan amounts to $625,000. Currently there are 145 active listings, 113 of which are over $625,500 (the new loan amount starting October 1st).  Between June 1 and August 31, 26 homes sold over $729,750 (the current limit on conforming loans), and 24 sold under $625,500, while 16 sold between the two loan amounts.  That represented 25% of the total 66 homes sold in that time period.

Currently, of the 145 active listings, 113 are listed over $625,500 (just using the loan amounts as the dividing line for the sake of discussion), 95 are listed over $729,750--meaning 18 are in the critical area in between.  Currently, 26 homes are in escrow, all over $625,500--but would the 8 in the critical area under $729,750 be buying in the future at a higher interest rate?  The homes in escrow (26) of the 145 active listings shows that the seller in this area currently has about an 18% chance of selling in the current loan market. 
Now, along with an already competitive situation in the high-end market, what will the future bring with a jump up in interest rate for the new jumbo loan amount?
See more at http://longbeachrealestate.blogspot.com/2011/07/change-may-be-coming-in-loan-amounts.html

But, there is more, not to be discussed here: the QRM, or qualified residential mortgage which basically could turn the conventional loan market at all levels into a one-size-fits-all 20% down payment.

How Many Short Sale Listings in Belmont Heights, the Shore and Naples Areas?







3923 E Vista

 Currently, including actives and those taking backup offers, there are 20 single family properties in short sale status in the 90803 zip code. They range in price from $449,000 for 3923 E. Vista St. to $2,350,000 for 5649 E. Corso Di Napoli.

3923 E Vista is a two-bedroom 1923 bungalow style home in Belmont Heights, east of Redondo Ave, with a detached garage.
The Treasure Island home on Corso Di Napoli is a bay front home with open water view, and includes two 48' boat docks.
It is listed as a two-story house, with 3 bedrooms and 3 baths, and a 2-car garage.



5649 E Corso Di Napoli

 There are 12 more active short sale listings in this area, including 2703 E 2nd St, listed at $740,000 in Bluff Park Historic District. This property is a 1909 craftsman style house on a corner lot, and is waiting for an offer! This is a great price in a neighborhood where recent sales have closed over $1,000,000.

Since December 1, 2010, 3 short sale (single family) properties have closed in this zip code; 3 properties closed as bank-owned sales; and 25 were listed as "standard sales", out of a total of 33 sold in all categories in the same time period.

How Does an Owner Cope with a Coastal Property Near Rising Water Level?

If you live in California, and Southern California in particular, your property may be near the coastal areas and at or near sea level--and therefore closer to the water table levels. At certain times of the year there are annual high tides, i.e., the one seen almost up to the asphalt level of Pacific Coast Highway through Huntington Harbour.

Houses with basements, or more likely crawl spaces under the raised foundation, may show signs of moisture or even flooding. This is dealt with by creating sumps--or holes in the ground to collect water--and installing sump pumps. The pumps may be set up with connectors (i.e., a hose) to carry the water off the property, via drains, or whatever method complies with local codes.

While a buyer should obtain professional assistance about the best type and system to install, if you're buying property almost level to the water, don't be surprised to find out you may have to deal with this.

In more extreme cases, you may want to find out about subsidence and call in another expert. You will want to review the natural hazard disclosure reports, and even local flood zone reports available online through FEMA. Also, be aware that if the property is in a specific FEMA flood zone, additional insurance may be required before your lender will fund your new loan, or otherwise require you to obtain the additional insurance if you already own the property. You may be able to obtain an elevation certificate issued by a qualified surveyor if your property sits at a high enough elevation.

For more information about contacting an appropriate local professional, please feel free to give me a call.

Properties are Selling in Long Beach 90803

The buyers have gotten in the Spring action mode in Long Beach's 90803 zip code--and for some buyers, there are issues of multiple offers in certain parts of Long Beach within days of the property coming on the market. This is a result of the combination effect of sellers pricing their property correctly, presenting it well (even staging it, that's been betting the fastest offers), and buyers who are pre-approved and motivated to buy.

In a quick review of the MLS, in the 90803 zip code (Naples, Belmont Heights, Belmont Shore areas), there are 101 active single family home listings waiting for a buyer, and there are 30 single family homes currently in escrow, list price between $425,900 (Island Village) to $3,350,000 on the water with a boat dock (Naples)--days on market ranged from "0" to "395".

In the same area are 54 condos waiting for a buyer, ranging from $189,000 to $1,095,000 in complexes such as Marina Pacifica, Village on the Green, Bixby Village, Spinnaker Cove, and in areas of Naples, Bluff Park, the Peninsula, and Belmont Heights. There are 19 condos in escrow, ranging up to $669,000 in asking price, having been on the market from 3 days up to 364 days.

For motivated sellers, believe it or not, we need more inventory. If you would like a market analysis of your home or income property, at no obligation, there's nothing to lose by talking over the current value of your home. I can even send you market comps via e-mail, plus other valuable market information.

Prices are still low, and motivated buyers should check out their financing options now.

To find more Bixby Village properties on the market, go to Long Beach Condos, Lofts and Associations, which is updated through the MLS, so you will get current information on which listings are on the market.

Your Next Home: Belmont Heights & Alamitos Heights Stats

Yes, there are a few single family properties that have been on the market for a long time, in this area there are 55 single family listings in "active" mode, and 3 properties have been on the market exactly one year or longer. Taking those out of the calculations, the average days on market (DOM) for this area is 104 days for the actives.

There are 12 in escrow--DOM of 67 excluding one of the sales that has been on the market for close to a year--and two sold in less than 14 days. Inventory as of January 6, 2009 showed 5.2 months of inventory supply (all property types) for Long Beach--compare that to 8.1 months of inventory supply for January, 2008.

For 90803 zip code (Belmont Heights, Naples, Belmont Shore, Bluff Park) in January 2009, the inventory supply is at 6.8 months.

Did you know that 6 months is considered the national turning point for a change to or from a buyer's or seller's market? Meaning less than 6 months inventory on the market (the amount of time it would take to sell all properties on the market at the current selling rate) is when the market flips over to favoring the seller.

If you'd like the market picture for your neighborhood or area of interest, I have that information also available by e-mail.

So if you're interested in this area, there are some great opportunities especially considering the interest rates which lowers your monthly payment, saving you thousands of dollars over the life of your loan. Take a look again at my December post on the cost of waiting to buy.