Showing posts with label market report. Show all posts
Showing posts with label market report. Show all posts

11/23/2022

Thanksgiving Update for Local Long Beach Area Market

Horn of Plenty Happy Thanksgiving

We're constantly reading about the shortage of housing units, in California and nationwide, and its effect in creating rising prices (still), yet the actual activity in many areas shows constantly decreasing prices and longer times on the market, because at the same time many buyers struggle with the higher interest rates.

And then there's this:

The number of homes on the market has grown amid the collapse in demand, but in emailed comments, Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, said new listings are lower compared to the same period one year ago and that housing inventory overall remains near “historic lows.”  Forbes.com article.

In the midst of buyers who struggle with obtaining loan approval at higher interest rates, there are also those buyers who are exceptionally well qualified, and can buy well over the list price of the house they make an offer on, and also know that in the current market sellers may be feeling the pressure of selling, so they bid low, sometimes very low, well under market value. The property with very recent upgrades, i.e., new kitchen or new bath, is likely to fare pretty well, but still much depends on location, floor plan, and size factors. Out of 37 closings in the last 3 days in Bellflower, Long Beach, Lakewood, Cypress and Signal Hill, and Los Alamitos, 12 sold over last list price, but not necessarily with the huge overbids of 2021. 

Long Beach zip code median single family prices for October:

90806   $705,000  Please see my Wrigley listing

90803   $1,477,000

90808   $895,000

90815   $983,000

90805   $628,000

90807   $1,020,000

So while these prices may still look healthy, all these areas are down from the peaks in April and May of 2022, when the median SFR price in April for all of Long Beach was $1,040,000, compared to October when the median SFR price for the city fell to $850,000.  (Average prices produce a different number in some cases, but the median price is not dragged up or down by an outlier price they way an average price may be.)  Both buyers and sellers have  been caught off guard by the volatile, and literally overnight, changes in interest rates, up as high as 7.2%, and then recently returning to the high 6%'s.  There are various projections about future rates, discussed in California Association of Realtors annual market prediction.  The future is hard to predict, and buyers and sellers should act promptly -- buyers who want to wait 6 months out to buy are chancing what could be a very different environment, and this is true in any market.

For an evaluation of your property please contact me for more area market information.

And, oh yes, Happy Thanksgiving!

 

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | http://www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

9/16/2022

August 2022 State and Los Angeles County Market Reports


Calif August sales and price report

Statewide, California inventory reached highest level since 2019, but at 2.9 months of supply is still well under the norm of 6 months.  Both time on market and median price of a single family home were up, making some sellers who only knew the previous pandemic market ask why it was taking "so long" to sell?  Well, there's nothing wrong with being on the market 19 days before selling. It actually is good to give both buyers and sellers time to think about choice of property and for sellers to review an offer.

Los Angeles County Market Update

 

For the County of Los Angeles, inventory in August was at 3.1 months, with the median price of a single family home at $854,960, a 1% increase from the prior month, and a 3% increase from one year prior.  But total home sales in the County decreased over 29% from this time last year, although they increased about 1% from the previous month.   Median time on market for the County was 16 days, a 77% increase from this time last year.

Interest rate volatility, and upward jumps, have had an impact for many buyers, and with conventional rates around or above the 6% level now, although still low by historical standards, will continue to impact buyers dependent on mortgage financing.  From California Association of Realtors:

“It’s encouraging to see that August’s sales pace rebounded above an annualized 300,000 units sold,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine. “Although we do not expect a rapid bounce-back because the Fed is expected to continue raising interest rates to get inflation under control, the monthly increase in closed and pending sales suggests that the market may have already priced in most of the rate increases to date. Still, buyers will continue to grapple with rising costs of borrowing, which will keep home sales below the 350,000 annualized pace for the remainder of the year.”

 

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | http://www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

8/17/2022

How Much Froth in the Housing Market is There?

Mortgage interest rates have been volatile, going up and down on a daily basis--today's rate (August 17) is at 5.22% per https://thefinancials.com for a 30-year mortgage, but recently it was up past 6%.  This has been affecting buyer behavior a lot for the purchase market, and has been slowing the sales volume for sellers.  However, while market time is longer than it was in the crazy pandemic purchase market, it is still not a buyer's market, just a somewhat longer selling time for sellers. 

Credit: Steven Thomas--Housing Reports
Price reductions in Los Angeles County equals 35% of market listings as of last week; Orange County reductions at 39% of market listings last week, and so on for Southern California counties. 

What counts right now for sellers is really taking stock of how you as a seller compare to your nearby home sales in terms of curb appeal, views, upgrades, remodels, and showing condition, on a more specific level than has been happening since before the pandemic price surge.  There are more listings on the market, but still not at the "normal" 6 month inventory level, and in fact, the Long Beach inventory level for July single family homes and condominiums was still only 1.9 months! On a national basis, it's more like 3 months--so in spite of the media attention given to some kind of housing debacle, there is in fact still a demand for inventory.  Increased interest rates have definitely affected buyers--the super low rates are not around, and the higher rates have pushed up monthly mortgage costs that many people cannot absorb.

 For a more complete weekly analysis of the Southern California real estate market, visit Orange County economist Steven Thomas at his weekly show.

Local market update for average single family home prices in July by zip code: 

Long Beach

90803 - $1,665,375

90815 - $1,008,650

90808 - $1,093,065

90806 - $728,800

Lakewood 

90712 - $817,938 

90713 - $855,535 

Signal Hill

$1,170,000 

Cerritos

$1,022,733

If you are thinking of selling, or would just like to know the market pricing for your home in the next 30-60 days, please contact me, I will be happy to assist you in person or online.  

 

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | http://www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

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