California Housing Market for September, and 2023 Annual Prediction

 According to California Association of Realtors report on current sales and pricing for September, the existing home price in September for Southern California was $783,380, a year to year increase of over 3%, but existing home sales slipped since last May and are down over 32% year to year.  Sales dipped as rates climbed - pending sales fell more than 40% as mortgage rates hit 20-year high.

So Calif Housing Prices/Sales

The California median price is up from last year, but dipped to a seven month low, $821,680 and the median price for a condo/townhome is $620,000.  The sales price to list ratio dipped to the lowest level since 2019, and the share of homes selling above asking price was 28.3% vs. 72% in the Spring of 2022.

In Los Angeles County in September, approximately 30% of homes sold over list price, the highest being San Francisco County at 64%.  

While inventory slipped a little, it's still comparable to pre-pandemic levels of being under 3 months (normal is 6 months, not seen since 2012).  Active listings have increased over last year but still lower than 2018 and 2019.  Southern California has seen the largest growth in active listings over all other California regions.   Time on market was a median of 22 days, double that of one year ago. Sales to list price ratio was 97.7%.  The median reduction amount for reduced price listings was 5.6% while 44.5% of listings had a reduced price.

2023 Calif Housing Forecast

The October annual CAR forecast at the Long Beach Convention Center predicts an overall softening of the housing market for 2023 by about 7%, where the median price is $758,000 vs. the current $821,680. This may be a relief for some buyers, however the 30-year Fixed Interest Rate is predicted at 6.6%, and in recent days has threatened to increase even more.  Buyers may be interested to know that mortgage lenders are bringing back programs that will help some buyers with grants, etc., to help their buying process.

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | http://www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

House Representatives Introduce Bill to Increase Capital Gains Exclusion

The "More Homes on the Market Act" was introduced on September 29th by Jimmy Panetta (D-CA) and Mike Kelly (R-PA), proposing increases in the capital gain exclusion amounts.  Under this bill, the exclusion amount of the sale of a principal resident for single filers would increase to $500,000 (now $250,000) and to $1 million (now $500,000) for joint filers.

Homes May Benefit from New Capital Gains Bill

This bill would provide tax relief for California homeowners, who are experiencing one of the highest cost markets in the nation, who have been unable or not wanting to move because of the large tax burden that  could result if they sold in the current market.  Senior citizens are more likely to face a larger tax burden since they have on average lived in their homes longer than younger age groups. 

The current capital gains exclusion was passed 25 years ago, with no indexing for inflation, in a different market which was not experiencing such huge equity gains. According to Rep. Panetta, "The current exclusion amount was first set in 1997 and was not indexed to inflation. If it had been indexed for inflation, it would be $461,325 for single filers and $922,650 today," amounts similar to the current proposed exclusion.  The new proposed bill does include indexing for inflation.

The current capital gains rate is  concurrent with fewer homes are on the market, which has contributed to higher demand and higher prices.  The National Association of Realtors estimates that single (95%) and married homeowners (68%) who purchased before 2000 could face capital gains tax if they sold their homes this year.

 

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | http://www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

Just Listed, South Wrigley Charmer in Long Beach

Front porch of Wrigley home

Living Room and fireplace

 

Update:  this property is listed as of 11/22/2022 for $720,000.  Best of this Wrigley neighborhood in Long Beach, this lovely home at 861 W 21st St is ideally located for those who need to commute to nearby Lakewood/Long Beach/

Backyard gazebo

Formal dining room and china cabinet

Los Angeles areas for work, or just want a very comfortable two-bedroom home.  Spacious back yard patio and gazebo with yard is ideal for entertainers or gardeners. Front xeroscaping is suitable for the environment, new driveway gate offers privacy and security. Art Deco styling is typical of the 1935 era, and newer plumbing is a maintenance asset. See it all at the MLS listing. Contact listing agent for more information, or visit my website below to see "featured properties" or open houses tab. List price at $740,000.  Find out more information for a $5000 grant for the buyer and qualifying for a special program.  Such programs may be helpful in buying down an interest rate, and saving money on the monthly mortgage!

 

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | http://www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996