How Is Local Long Beach Market Being Impacted?

Here is just a quick synopsis to show the Long Beach market curve for single family houses, which is not different from surrounding cities.  Fewer new listings are coming on the market as the industry deals with the orders put in place by the California governor.  One bright spot is that California Association of Realtors and National Association of Realtors are appealing to state and federal governments to recognize the real estate profession as an "essential business".  Many occupations are related to the closing of a residential transaction, not the least of which is the need for properties to be available for buyers who need a place to live! If the industry is placed in this category, it will help significantly with buyers and sellers who are otherwise capable of dealing with the health situations. Having people see a property, one or two people at a time, certainly has far less exposure than going to the grocery store!

In February, the single family active listings was 271.
The current number of single family active listings is 186.

February single family pending sales: 144
Current number pending sales:  116

February total closed sales:  250
Current total sales closed 3/1/-3/24:  116

So the current corona virus situation will impact us for a while, and there may be quite a pent up demand when business gets back to normal, or almost normal.  Based on the curve of activity in China, and now New York, the next 60 days or so may be the biggest down swing in the California market before it gets better, but of course the future is not known at this point.


Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

Ongoing Pandemic Situation May Have Some Stabilization?

As the pandemic flows through countries causing devastation, global data as of today also indicates over 72,000 have recovered from the corona virus, see  Arcgis link below.

As a followup to yesterday's post about the market, and some corona virus impacts, here is another segment of that same prediction, from California Association of Realtors:

Situation in China Beginning to Stabilize—Hope for Foreign Demand: The number of new Coronavirus cases has begun to fall in China and although the toll has been devastating, there are rising hopes that they may be getting the outbreak under control at last. This will take time to materialize in the housing market, and as we noted last week, international demand has fallen to cycle-lows in California, but this should help prevent a larger decline in demand from foreign buyers.

For those interested in the global picture, follow this link to the Arcgis global database, where on a postive note, the total global recovered case numbers are also shown in the far right column.      https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 

And, if you are interested in finding out how to place your home on the market at this time, I can go over the details of the current market issues with you. 

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

What Are the Upcoming Market Impacts for Real Estate?; and Long Beach Sales Stats

The California housing forecast for 2020 from the California Association of Realtors may be revised downward, but this greatly depends on the length and quality of the viral outbreak.  On the one hand we have GDP growth impact, but then we have very low mortgage interest rates which can offset a slower economy.  California could still achieve a healthy housing market for 2020.

The number of reported new corona virus cases in China has begun to fall.  This stabilization there will take time to trickle across the globe.  A March 6-9 email survey of  California Realtors shows varying attitudes:  36% believed there would be no impact on home sales or time on market; 25% of Realtors said clients put home purchase or sale on hold; 33% of Realtors had clients asking market questions related to corona virus. Other areas some Realtors felt would be impacted  were prices, closing, and supply.

Turbulent financial markets actually make real estate relatively more attractive.

If consumers maintain their confidence, economic growth will continue.  There have been so many re-finances from consumers taking advantage of low rates, that the mortgage industry is swamped!  Some have even started to raise their rates online in reaction to all the re-fi's.  However, don't think it's not a great time to make a home puchase and profit by the low rates, because it is!

The other fact is that since 2012, the housing inventory has not risen to the level prior to 2012, this is one of the things that has kept housing prices higher in California.  So low interest rates at this time actually offset that fact, and make monthly mortgages more attractive due to rates.

Long Beach February Market for Single Family Homes:  Inventory at 1.6 months supply (extremely low number of homes on the market); average sales price $759,000; number of houses on the market is 276; average days on market is 32. 

Sellers, this is your time to sell!!!

If you have more specific question in regard to viewing property, or listing yours, please contact me via phone or email at any time!



Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996

Takeaways From the PWR 2020 Economic Summit

About 1,000,000 people have left California since 2010

• Pacific West Association of REALTORS held its meeting in  Garden Grove today on current real estate topics state wide and locally:  
• There are two Proposition 13s coming up:  One is a new proposition on the March 3rd ballot dealing with a bond for school construction debt; the other is the well-known Proposition 13 issue from 1978 appearing on the November ballot and dealing with the Split Roll Tax Initiative where commercial properties, not residential properties, would be restructured for their property taxes if voted in, with the objective of commercial properties paying higher tax than currently (did you know that over time residential properties have been increasing thereby carrying a tax burden not enjoyed by commercial properties).  Don't confuse the two.
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• Proposition 5 will hopefully obtain enough signatures to be back on the  November ballot, and partially rewritten from its last ballot appearance when it was defeated.
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• The State is in the longest post recovery period from a recession ever, over 10 years!
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• The U.S. unemployment rate is down to 3.5%, the lowest rate ever; while the overall California unemployment rate is at 3.9%, but this varies by county.
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• The corona virus effect is global, and is affecting the supply chain around the world, for instance, Toyota in China is just one of many places currently unable to produce for the world market. The next 6 months may see continuing impact, globally and locally, even affecting prospective foreign buyers here.
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• The California population was 20 million in 1970, it's now double that at 40 million people.
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• The housing market typically slows before major elections, there is no correlation to political parties.
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• Housing prices are most often referred to when dealing with "up" or "down" trends, yet the  annual number of residential transactions hasn't changed for the last 10 years!
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• From 2003 to the present, home prices have increased by 53%!
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• Where are sales headed?  Perhaps with higher prices, but not with more inventory.  Inventory has been constrained at the same level since 2012.  May now be the new normal at 2-3 months of inventory.
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• Statewide, the average time on market is 28 days; in the ultrahigh luxury market, the average time on market is 39 days.

•  Many college age young adults want to be able to buy their own home.
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• Buyers want a "Pinterest" home, their expectations are high.
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• The Los Angeles County median home price is $641,000; the Orange County median home price is $840,000, with the lowest inventory in 15 years.
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• Where is the fastest rising price increase?  City of Norwalk.
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• It's predicted that by 2025, California will be a majority renter state.
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• California property owners need to change their image of what increased density might look like in their neighborhood--developers too.  New multifamily housing does not have to have the "cell block" look, there are more elegant designs which could blend well into single family home areas.

REALTORS are represented in 90% of sales, a figure that hasn't changed in 30 years.

Thanks to Leslie Appleton -Young, California Association of REALTORS Chief Economist.

Julia Huntsman, REALTOR, Broker | www.juliahuntsman.com | 562-896-2609 | California Lic. #01188996