How Many Properties Are For Sale Under $300,000 in Long Beach?

Lafayette - Downtown Long Beach condos

The answer is, a lot.



The great majority of residential properties included here are single family houses and condominiums; the list also includes a much smaller number of lofts (a separate MLS designation), own-your-owns and co-ops.  The grand total from SoCalMLS is 618 listed as "active", regardless of selling condition (short sale, REO, probate, etc.), or the amount of HOA dues in the case of common area properties.

This inventory is not too different from last September's post when there were 631 on the market.

The breakdown includes the following:

• 295 are single family houses, 31 of which are partially in Wrigley, Alamitos Beach, North Long Beach, Rose Park, and their adjacent neighborhoods.
• 1 is classified as a loft in downtown Long Beach, and only 7 are own-your-owns or coops. More of the OYOs and coops have converted to condos, one of the recent projects underway is a co-op on Atlantic Ave.

• 314 (about 50% of the total) are condominiums, including the Marina Pacifica complex, Belmont Heights, Bluff Park and adjacent neighborhoods, The Lakes on Spring St.  The majority of condominiums are located in the 90802 zip code which includes Alamitos Beach, downtown Long Beach, Ocean Blvd. luxury buildings (31 condos are for sale along Ocean Blvd.!!)

There is opportunity for many people here right now--including 1st time homebuyers, second home buyers, and investors. For a property search of these areas go to http://www.juliahuntsman.com/ at the property search tab, where all types of properties, including 2,3, and 4 units, may be searched throughout Long Beach, Los Angeles County and Orange County and all cities in Southern California. And, also take a look at two listings: an Emerald Villas Condo at $185,000 and a single family home in Lakewood for $365,900.

Emerald Villas is an FHA approved complex!!



Short Sales are Working Better in 2011

Lenders are primed for short sales in 2011 because short sales are a terrific option for homeowners struggling with unaffordable mortgage payments. In fact, lenders’ losses due to foreclosure are projected to increase at record rates in 2011, giving them more reason to pursue short sales. Lenders are projected to incur losses as severe as 85 percent in foreclosure! Meaning, after deducting the expense of the foreclosure process on a $100,000 loan, they may only get back $15,000!

It’s common sense that lenders will be looking toward the short sale solution. Even though they are accepting less than is owed on the property, they lose far less than in a foreclosure sale.

In fact, right now in the Long Beach market, short sale transactions for condos and lofts increased by more than 200 units from 2009 to 2010.  Short sale transactions for single family houses grew from approximately 762 home in 2009 to 875 homes in 2010, or about 27% of all sold, cancelled or expired single family listings in the MLS.

Thus far in 2011, there are 593 single family homes in short sale status as active, in escrow, or otherwise on the market, out of a total of 1280 or 46%; and 380 condos and loft units are in the same categories of short sale, out of a total of 738, or 51%.

It may be a surprise to many that lenders actually want to work out a solution that benefits all parties. Oftentimes, the lender is seen as the villain in the situation. I’ve found that the lenders want to avoid foreclosure just as much as homeowners. The free, downloadable report at "Distressed Property" called "On the Edge of Losing Your Home" on this website at Long Beach Condos and Homes talks more about working with your lender, and details all the foreclosure alternatives available to you.

Download the report and call me today; I can help you develop a plan to work with your lender and avoid foreclosure.

Take These Steps Towards a Successful Short Sale

Lenders and the federal government, prompted by the sheer volume of loan modification and short sale requests, have overhauled their systems and programs, making the foreclosure avoidance process much easier than in the past. If you haven't considered this option before, maybe now is the time to find out more.

If you are considering short selling your home to avoid the financial and emotional fallout of foreclosure, you should be aware of the five steps you should take to increase your chances of a successful transaction.

First, do you qualify?

You must:

1. Have a verifiable hardship, like unemployment, medical bills, or relocation

2. Must have a monthly income shortfall

3. Be insolvent (you have no cash or assets that can be sold to pay down the mortgage), or headed towards insolvency



If you meet these qualifications, follow these five steps to a successful short sale:

1. Contact me so we can identify your servicer, fill out a short sale packet for the lender, and assemble all the required information needed to list your home for sale

2. Gather financial information (i.e., bank statements, pay stubs) from at least the last three months

3. Keep your house in showcase condition for showings, and make as many repairs as necessary and that you can afford

4. Expect the lender, junior lien holders, and private insurance companies to request more paperwork, and try to gather requested information quickly to ensure transaction efficiency

5. Set realistic expectations and work with me, the lender, and the buyer to the satisfaction and benefit of all parties involved


For more information about how the short sale process works, or about any other foreclosure alternatives you may qualify for, call me today. I can help you alleviate the burden that the threat of foreclosure brings, and we can develop a strategy to help you breathe a little easier.

Looking Down That Road: Borrowers Need to Know Their Options

For some people, the picture of this highway might represent escape. For others, it could mean taking a new direction. It's important to know how this looks to you, or someone you're helping, because it probably represents the starting point of dealing with a potentially distressed property issue.

The national average is that about 1 in 7 or 1 in 8 homeowners is facing a difficult time with their mortgage. And recent statistics were published from the 4th Quarter U.S. Census data stating that there were 18.4 million vacant homes in the U.S. (11 percent of all housing units vacant all year round). While the breakdown of rentals, foreclosures held off the market, or homes not sold, etc., is not clear, we know that many of those homes used to be occupied by people whose were foreclosed on.
Did you know that many many people allow themselves to go through foreclosure without first checking their options, which include:

Consumer Credit: Tips for the Way to Better Credit

In spite of general information available online, many consumers are still "in the dark" about how credit scoring functions and the best actions to take to improve it.
In spite of advice on repairing credit, a tip from an professional who has been in the business for many many years, often the best way to improve your credit is to simply pay your bills on time and reduce your credit line debt as much as possible--your payment history accounts for 35% of your FICO score.
Many consumers have recently experienced reduction of their credit lines, which then increases the percentage of debt, which then lowers their credit score. If a line of credit allows up to $50,000 and the outstanding debt is $45,000, but then the line of credit is suddenly reduced to $30,000, the borrower now appears to have exceeded the credit line. So now, the FICO score may be lowered, even though the borrower is always on time with payments.
Another factor that can impact credit scores is that not all banks report their credit limits for a borrower, but instead reports the highest balance--this actually can end up lowering the borrower's credit score because the debt utilization percentage does not show up. (See Liz Pulliam's "Weird Stuff that Hurts Your Credit.")
Borrowers, in an effort to simplify their credit history, make the mistake of voluntarily closing a credit account. This actually can be a very bad thing, especially if it was established much earlier in the consumer's credit history.  Your credit history accounts for 15% of your score, so you could anticipate seeing that much of a reduction on your score: A score of 750 could be reduced to less than 650. And, for instance, if you had a bankruptcy, you may be categorized with others who have also, but if you have that bankruptcy removed from your record, you will now be compared differently, which can impact your score negatively.
Something else not generally known, is that simply by paying bills on time and reducing debt, your FICO score can also improve in a short period, sometimes in as little as 30 days (or a few months), depending on the various factors of your credit history. The FICO score is a mathematically produced number based on certain elements that are used by the Fair Isaac Corporation, and is very complex, but you can know its basic components:

• Type of Credit:               10%
• New Credit Inquiries:      10%
• Payment History:             35%
• Length of Credit History: 15%
• Amounts Owed:              30%

Further, many borrowers think that the credit scores they obtain online from a free credit reporting site is an accurate representation of their score, but in fact, they cannot substitute for the ones lenders must obtain when working with a potential homebuyer or refinance borrower.
Further, many borrowers believe that it is best for them to pay down all debt prior to obtaining a home loan, when that is not always the case.
Another important thing to know is that Fair Isaac Corporation, the maker of the FICO score, changes its model, and may be doing so again at this moment--this can change how much you are going to pay for your home loan. If you are looking into borrowing or refinancing at this time, current information would be extremely important for you.
One company works on "credit mapping" as opposed to credit repair. The borrower is advised to investigate what either type of company could do for them, but in general credit repair companies may cost $800 or more and in certain cases has not helped the borrower through it's actions. Another company uses credit mapping outlines for a particular borrower--at a much lower fee cost--based on their credit report and other circumstances, and what may best work for them, as opposed to the generic information found on sites such as http://www.myfico.com/ .  For more explicit information about credit mapping and general advice, see this article in the Orange County Register published last September.
In summary, you really need to know about your particular situation to best know what to to, before you make a move.
More tips about credit:  Improving Your Credit Score, Recognizing a Credit Repair Scam

California Market: Neither the Best Nor the Worst?

The Housing Predictor has published its 25 best and 25 worst markets for 2011, and fortunately or unfortunately, California is not on either list. Are things getting better finally? The appreciation predicted for the 25 best areas ranges from 2.3% to 3.6%, and depreciation in the 25 worst markets ranges from 8.2% to 11.5%.  For Los Angeles County, Housing Predictor foresees an overall 5.4% loss for 2011, with Sacramento and San Diego faring a little better in the 3-4% loss range, with Sacramento also on the list for one of the first markets to recover.  Sacramento is considered one of the most affordable cities in the state. Meanwhile, pointing out that California is the world's 6th largest economy, and that it's not "falling into economic ruin", the sluggish housing market is still affecting Los Angeles County. The tax credit that boosted sales in 2010 is not around now. Per Realist Tax Data, in fact, the overall median price of a single family home did increase from October to November in Los Angeles County, from $330,000 to $335,000--but the median price of a condo decreased by $5,000 from $305,000 in October to $300,000 in November.

Per data by Dataquick released yesterday and published today by the LA Times, a Southern California median home price was up by 1% in December from November, even though lower when compared to the end of 2009, while sales volume was up (Dataquick tends to lump both house and condo prices into one overall median).

However, did you know that a long-gone single family loan type has returned? The 3% down conventional loan for houses is back on the scene--and some condos and condo buyers may be eligible for a 5% down conventional loan. These loans should be a great help to the conforming loan market buyers and sellers.

This would be a good time to review The Cost of Waiting To Buy -- a blog article that receives the most hits since last May.

New Listing: 2 Bedroom Condo in Emerald Villas in Downtown Long Beach

This is a well-situated condominium in the gated Emerald Villas, a 1991 complex with resort-like surroundings.  This light and spacious-feeling 2 bedroom, 2 full bath unit features indoor laundry, including the stackable washer/dryer, a cozy fireplace in the living room and a city lights view towards the east. Both bedrooms are carpeted, and the hall area provides extra counter space and cabinets for work area and storage. There's plenty of closet space in each bedroom.

Parking is in a secure, gated garage for two side-by-side spaces. The central courtyard in the common area has a beautiful pool and spa, and the fountain and the well-planted entry area are a gracious introduction to this beautiful complex. The HOA also features a BBQ area, sun deck and exercise room, and is within short walking distance to a nearby school and park, and is very convenient for freeway access. More information on this unit listed at $189,000 at 555 Maine Ave., #208, Long Beach, CA 90802.
Julia Huntsman, Broker
Lic 01188996

NOTE: off market 9/7/2011

New Listing: Lakewood Single Family Home $379,900

A cute vintage 1942 home, ready for a buyer in Lakewood. It has a master suite with higher ceilings, and a large family room with a rock-faced fireplace. One bedroom could work well as an office or library, and there's room in the backyard for the spa and playspace. An attached 2-car garage has a door into the family room, and the huge tree in the front yard provides plenty of shade for this west-facing home.
While it needs some work, it has plenty of charm in this circular floor plan. Hardwood floors in the formal dining area, living and front bedrooms. Very well-priced for the area and the size, at $379,900.
Please see more at http://www.juliahuntsman.com/featured-listings.html.
2/25:  Now $365,900!!

Julia Huntsman, Broker
Lic 01188996



Monthly 1-Minute Newsletter

See my monthly newsletter below for December, 2010. Just click on the logo below for the best summary around of local and regional market info! Have a very Happy New Year in 2011!



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Are You Having Trouble With a Loan Modification?

It's probably no surprise to many mortgage borrowers by now in this Christmas season to realize that they've had a tough time getting their loan modified this year. If they do not qualify for the Home Affordable Loan Program (HAMP), they try their bank's program. Often this application process goes on for months, while the homeowner may grow short on funds and cannot continue the monthly payment, and then they begin the process for a short sale, or worse, foreclosure. This story has been repeated over and over by many borrowers. If a loan modificaton is approved by the lender, often times the delinquent payments and refinance fees are added to the principal, making the new higher payment very unattractive, so the borrower rejects it.
One issue is that lenders have very little incentive to modify loans, as the cost of doing so cannot be billed back to the investor, and the work involved is very labor intensive and is not easily automated. Many banks have not invested in qualified staffing to take care of the high volume of distressed owners. And their agreements with investors on securitized mortgages may not actually cover the details of completing loan modifications, but do address foreclosure, so they believe they are in a risky situation with fulfillment of their contract terms.
In a 31-page study by the Federal Reserve, based on data from over 105,000 loans from 94 loans servicers dating from 2005 from California, Oregon and Washington, to determine who receives a loan modification (no discernible differences according to race and income differentials were found, "In fact, we find that Blacks/African Americans, Hispanics/Latinos and Asians are slightly more likely to receive a loan modification, and that these loan modifications have slightly larger reductions in their interest rate than those of similarly situated white borrowers"), it was still unclear after its research into the behavior of various financial institutions as to why the number of loan modifications was still falling well short of the number of foreclosures, even though the HAMP program has been declared effective with borrowers who received one, a group with a low re-default rate, despite literature published to the contrary.  Here is the complete Federal Reserve study. 

Another very clear problem is that some banks do reach out to their customers, but many borrowers fail to make contact with their banks, even after being contacted by them. And the longer a delinquent borrower spends in delinquency without contacting their bank, the more likely the home will be lost to foreclosure.

If you are interested in a loan modification, you might be successful, and you should contact your loan servicer.  But it's important to understand that possibly no matter how much information you submit to your bank, for a variety of reasons you may not get one, or you may have to struggle for up to a year or more with them. Banks are not equal in this situation--one of the factors may be if your loan is a portfolio loan or one securitized with investors. The study mentions the "lack of transparency" because data is issued in the aggregate, and information directly linked to borrowers is still difficult to track. Also, according to this study, 52% of foreclosure sales lack "reciprocal servicer contact" (does that mean the bank didn't return the borrower's initial contact)?

Overall, banks recoup a little more money if a property is sold in a short sale, rather than going into foreclosure and coming back on the market as an REO. This usually costs banks more money, and their "loss severity" rates are looked at closely when making their decisions.

The bottom line is: If you are having trouble making payments, contact your bank now. If you have to keep submitting your information over and over again for periods of 30-60-90 days, then you should obtain assistance through a Realtor who is familiar with short sales, or an attorney who specializes in loan modifications, not just any attorney, for further help. Don't wait too long.

Is the Southern California Market Stabilizing?

With so many analyses and predictions going on about the direction of the real estate market, the average person is often uncertain about the real truth. Recently, I've heard a few prospective buyers that I've been talking with express the belief that the market is going to drop even more by a certain percent, or just drop in general, all depending on what they've most recently read. But there's one truth that most real estate experts and practitioners agree on, all across the country: All real estate is local. So whether or not a large bank stops foreclosures for a while, or some other wave hits on the financial scene, it may or may not affect your immediate market in your part of the state, county or city, or even your neighborhood, depending on the many economic characteristics and forces that make up your area.
So, having said all real estate is local, in general, the number of Southern California residential sales for November fell, but overall, prices stayed stable. Southern California means the six counties of Los Angeles, Ventura, Orange, San Bernardino, San Diego and Riverside.
For Los Angeles County, the sales volume dipped by 11.5% compared to the prior year, but the median price (lumping new and resale houses and condos all together) for LA County decreased by only 1.2%; Orange County's median increased by .6%; San Diego and Ventura Counties increased price by over 3% and 2%, respectively; San Bernardino, hard hit by foreclosures, decreased another 5% in median price over last year. Per Dataquick,  the overall median price for all six counties increased by .7% even though the sales volume decreased by 15%.
Local cities, per the most recent information for new and existing houses and condos published through October 2010 by California Association of Realtors, show:

• Long Beach decreased its median price by 4.7% from prior October.
• Cerritos increased its median price by 5%.
• Lakewood stayed the same.
• San Pedro decreased by .1%.
• Bellflower decreased by 1.7%
• Gardena increased by 9%
• Buena Park increased by 3%
• Huntington Beach stayed the same
• Westminster increased by 1.1%
• Newport Beach increased by 17%
• Downey decreased by .4%.

Breaking down by zip codes in some cities show that certain areas such 90810 and 90813 in Long Beach are showing increases, but the higher priced 90803 zip code is still showing decreases in median price. That's a similar story for other zip codes such as in Newport Beach, when compared to a higher priced section within the same city.
And, to top it off buyers, the past two weeks or so saw the biggest jump in interest rates in the past several months. Many mortgage professionals believe the floor of close to 4% may be permanently gone, and as of today, FHA quotes were at 4.75%, while a 5% down conventional loan for a condo was quoted at 5%. It's easy to take a calculator to check out this would affect your monthly payment. A free calculator download is at Real Data.
Buyers should start making hay while the sun is shining!

Have a wonderful Merry Christmas, Happy New Years, and Happy Holidays.

Christmas Homes Afternoon Photo Time

Getting into the local neighborhood Christmas spirit!

How Many Properties Under $300,000 in Signal Hill?

This is a good price point to consider because it works for second home buyers, 1st time buyers, and people looking for a good investment in a desirable location. The property in this price range will most likely be a condo but if a buyer is willing to consider North Long Beach or West Long Beach, it could be a single family home. For a two-income couple, the total monthly payment (principal, interest, taxes, HOA dues and insurance) may be $2000 or less at current interest rates. It's actually a very competitive price range because of the number of investors able to invest cash or a very large down payment, and it's an affordable price range for many buyers. Some areas of Signal Hill have great views towards the mountains and toward the ocean, and in fact, the City has taken a stance to protect those views. It has gone through much development in the last 20 years to shed its oil derrick image, and most recently a new grocer's has opened up across from Home Depot on Cherry Ave.

Right now in Signal Hill, 29 properties are listed at $300,000 or less (out of a total of 66 active listings in showing in the MLS as of today). This is almost 50% of the inventory, where the average of all list prices is over $400,000.  All of these properties are condos, except for two single family homes, and almost half are standard sales. With interest rates still under 4.75% (but see this article from Zillow about the biggest change in 5 months) a buyer could possibly meet the goal of keeping the total payment under $2000.
To see Signal Hill properties now, click here.

Opportune Time for Buyers.

National Association of Home Builders comments on the current market, both for new housing and existing homes. Prices nationally --and locally -- have returned to the 2003 levels. NAHB believes there is price stabilization in many areas of the country. Future household formation--which has slowed in the current economy--will eventually demand more housing. This is the "opportune time for buyers" because buyers who are motivated to buy and are qualified at this time should take advantage. Los Angeles County, though experiencing fewer sales than one year ago, has not lost in the median price point of a single family homes since one year ago: Year-to-date in LA County the median price of a single family home is $340,000, Click on the video for more on housing market conditions currently.

When Is "Diving" into Lease Option a Good Idea in Southern California?

Sometimes I'm asked about the possibility of a lease-option as a way to buy a single family home.

Lease-options were used extensively with commercial properties in the past and have also become a method for purchasing a single family home in the residential market.

They work best when: 1) the owner wants to sell but does not have to transfer title right away; 2) or the seller may need continuing cash to pay fthe mortgage, 3) the house may be vacant or will soon be because the seller has already moved on, 4) the money from the sale is not needed immediately by the seller, 5) and, very important, the seller has equity in the property or has other income. When a seller's market is slow and a house with equity in it is not selling, a seller might consider this scenario from a renter/buyer.

There are advantages for both the buyer and the seller in this arrangement.  It's also important to use a good lease-option agreement which covers, among other things, the percentage of rent credit towards the down payment, the date by which the sale will close, and other clarifications concerning who is paying the taxes, who is maintaining the property (usually the seller), agreement on the final sales price. Tenants in this situation are more likely to treat the property very well since they see themselves as the future owners.

An advantage for the seller includes retaining the income tax deductions and having good tenants. The advantages for the buyer are getting into a house for little money up front (the amount is negotiable of course),  building up a rent credit towards a down payment, trying out the neighborhood, still having time to shop for the best mortgage or interest rate, and the possible benefit of the price being locked in if the value goes up.

The buyer must first find out what the seller's circumstances are, which a Realtor can definitely help out with, before spending time on making lease-option offers. In many neighborhoods, short sales are about 50% or more of the local market and many if not most of those properties will not have a seller who will be able to rent out the house at local market rent because their mortgage payment may be much much higher, and they do not have either the desire or the ability to carry a negative cash flow.

However, if an equity seller can wait 6 months or even a year for the buyer, it might be worth the wait.

For some additional explanation, see this general article about lease-options.

If You Got a Home Loan From the Bank, Are You Its Client?

No. You're the borrower. And as the borrower, you voluntarily took the loan from the bank, and according to the usual circumstances of an arms-length loan transaction, there is no fiduciary relationship.

However, Bank of America's investors, for example, include Pimco of Newport Beach, TCW Corp. of Los Angeles, BlackRock, Inc. of New York, and Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Bank of America has about 500 investors, all of whom it may owe a fiduciary obligation because of their investment/purchase of funds. Banks in these cases are the servicers for these investors, with whom they have agreements or contracts. Those contracts are known as PSA's, Pooling and Servicing Agreements, which guide the specific demands made on loan modifications or short sales requested by the borrower. It may not be easy to find out the exact terms  in those agreements, and in fact, it's often difficult to find out what investor holds the note due to the use of MERS in the last few years. But those servicing agreements spell out the relationship of the Bank to the investor, and ultimately, the course of your short sale or loan modification request. The servicer may actually have leeway in negotiating for the investor, but if the investor is able to accuse the servicer it did not act in the investor's best interest, the servicing bank could have a lawsuit on its hands. So you might be told the "investor" is making demands, but is that really the full story?

The banks/servicers frequently require the use of their bank addendums to be added to Realtor contracts--adding another layer to interpret in the transaction.  Here is another use of the term "fiduciary"--On a recently published Purchase Contract Addendum by Wells Fargo in July/August of this year, the following language definitely confuses the issue: "It is the Brokers’ fiduciary responsibility to present the highest and best offer to the servicer." To be very clear, 1) the seller's broker has a fiduciary duty to the seller, not to the seller's bank, and 2) offers are presented to the seller, not to the bank. The "highest and best offer" (and the best offer may not necessarily be the highest price) is presented to the seller, who ideally accepts an offer when it then becomes a contract, which is than submitted to the bank for its approval to accept less than the outstanding loan amount. Naturally, the bank is interested in recouping as much money as possible, but the issue of fiduciary relationship--the person to whom you owe the greatest care--is clearly laid out for brokers in agency law, and that person is your seller if you are the listing broker, not the bank. The broker cannot be the servant of both because the broker already has a contract (the listing agreement) with the seller who owns the property, not with the bank--or investor--which owns the note.

Sellers would like a clear, black-and-white outlook for their property, and it's rarely easy, and full of complications. It's very important for the seller to read the letter issued by the bank when a short sale has been approved--the seller should not assume the bank is issuing language that is completely in the seller's interest without taking the time to examine it, or have it looked at by a tax or legal advisor!

FICO Scores May Mean Savings on Monthly Payment of $200

Many buyers, and property owners who want to refinance now, realize that FICO scores are important when it comes to getting a loan. But what exactly is the picture on the benefits to a higher score, and what kind of a difference will it make? Below is a general chart for score categories and interest rates.

The sample breakdown below may not be exactly like this because a borrower's other circumstances with a particular lender or a particular program could vary, so it's important to keep that in mind. But oftentimes prospective borrowers are not aware of how their decision to buy one more piece of furniture, or buying that new car, BEFORE closing escrow, may strongly impact their new monthly payment because they have added more debt.

30 year Fixed Rate Mortgage - $200,000 Loan Amount

FICO Score                APR              Monthly Payment

760-850                     4.466%          $1,009
700-759                     4.688%          $1,036
680-699                     4.865%          $1,057
660-679                     5.079%          $1,083
640-659                     5.509%          $1,137
620-639                     6.055%          $1,206

Chart courtesy of Pat Zaby

For more information on how debt and other credit issues can impact your credit score, I can forward you my Powerpoint presentation.  Also, go to http://www.myfico.com/ for objective information about credit scoring and obtaining a free credit report.

What is the Trend in Long Beach House and Condo Prices Since Sept. 2008

The two-year picture for median selling price of single family homes in Long Beach is a pretty diverse picture, just like the city itself. From September 2008 to September 2010:

Interestingly, the overall drop for the SFR from 2 years ago is only 3% from $390,000 to $379000 (per CARETS data). This is in contrast to the median price for Los Angeles County which has increased from $339,500 (Sept. 2009) to $350,000 (per CoreLogic data). There is a 30% decrease in expired house listings, and the number of sold properties is up 15% over two years ago, while the months supply of inventory is down 33%.

Condos in Long Beach have taken a bigger hit--the median sold price has dropped 22% in two years from $263,000 to $205,000 from 2008-2010, and for Los Angeles County the median price has dropped from $337,000 to $320,000 from 2009-2010. The overall median for sale condo price in Long Beach has dropped 22% in the last 2 years, but there are fewer expired properties (down 37%), and an increase in the number of sold condos in the last 2 years, by 5%. The months supply of inventory is down 32% from two years ago.

For both houses and condos, the number of properties for sale is down by 26% and 22%, a condition that eventually may contribute to more listings on the market to meet demand, driving sales volume higher and in some cases sales prices higher as inventory decreases in certain areas.

Should You Pay All Cash or Should You Carry a Mortgage?

Should you be in a hurry to pay off a mortgage? Or should you never pay it off? What reasons would you have for carrying a mortgage instead of having total equity in your property? Why do we want to make a bigger down payment, get 15-year loans, pay more money every month? If you are trying to decide what to do, save a bigger down payment or pay all cash, or make a lesser down payment, take a look at this.

When the stock market crashed in 1929, the banks called (demanded immediate payment on ) home loans in the 1920's due to the run on banks, which led to homeowners losing their homes. This is when people starting believing it was bad to have a mortgage and that it was bad to be in debt. Then, mortgage loans could be called on a moment's notice, but today, due to a change in the rule,  the bank is prohibited from paying in full without prior notice, and can only demand this month's payment. People have been trained to think of debt elimination and being debt-free due to this history.

• Mortgages don't affect home values--mortgage is not a debt, it is an asset class.
• Equity is built whether or not there is a mortgage, it is built due to market growth in value.
• A mortgage is the cheapest money you can borrow because it is secured by the property (unlike most debt which is unsecured and is given at much higher interest).
• Mortgage interest is tax-deductible.
• Mortgage interest is tax-favorable.
• Mortgage payments get easier over time, the payment never grows, but your income does.
• Mortgages allow you to sell without selling; owners have the opportunity to use the equity.
• Mortgages enable you to create more wealth than you otherwise would.
• Mortgages allow you to invest more money more quickly.
• Mortgages give you greater liquidity and greater flexibility. The 30-year loan may actually give a better return than a 15-year loan--if you save and invest the difference.

 Many people carry a mortgage even though they have the money to pay it off because they have learned to use their mortgage to create wealth. A big mortgage is not an excuse to buy a big house--Buy the cheapest house you can buy, and get the biggest mortgage. See Ric Edelman, 10 Great reasons to Carry a Big Long Mortgage

Buying a Home is An Opportunity to Leverage

Often when prospective buyer(s) think about making the change from being a renter to a homeowner, they add up all their monthly costs as a renter and then compare it to their monthly costs as a homeowner. If the amount as a homeowner is more, then they get discouraged and assume that buying is not a good deal for them. But instead of focusing on only their current role as a renter, they should go further and realize their role, and their opportunity, as an homebuyer/investor for their future:

Some people define leverage as using other people's money but another way to describe it is when a small down payment controls a large asset by placing a high loan-to-value mortgage on it. There are not many investments that allow leverage but homes certainly do and especially with FHA or VA loans.

Let's assume a couple or single buyer has the down payment and good credit that would allow them to buy a home. We'll compare some alternatives to see where their best outcome may be.

If a person put $6125 in a certificate of deposit (CD) that earned 2% annually, it would be worth $6,762 in five years and the profit would be taxed as ordinary income. If a person could take a little more risk and pick the right stock, the $6,125 might grow to $7,817 and the profit would be taxed at  the more favorable long-term capital gains rates if they held the stock for more than one year.

On the other hand, if the $6,125 were used as a down payment for a $175,000 home (possible with an FHA purchase) that went up in value only 1% per year, the equity would grow to $30,575 in the same five year period of time based on appreciation and amortization. In most cases, the gains on principal residences are excluded from income tax subject to limits. (Single person usually has an IRS $250,000 capital gains exemption and married couple usually has an IRS $500,000 capital gains exemption.)

The difference is dramatic and is one more reason that buyers should be taking advantage of the great selection of homes, the lower prices and incredibly low interest rates to fix their cost of housing for years to come. There may never be a better time to buy a home than now.

For more information on this, a rent vs. buy analysis may be obtained. Or please contact me through http://www.juliahuntsman.com/

Inspired by Pat Zaby

Has Your Home Loan Been Sold?

What if your home loan has been sold? This video interviewing Paul Leonard of the Housing Policy Council explains why mortgages may be sold, what is securitization and its function in the market, and the new banking changes which will require anyone who touches a mortgage in the future to have some responsibility for it: the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (summary is 16 pages).

Was 2009 the Low Point of the Market?

Almost two years ago, in December of 2008, I did a post called The Cost of Waiting to Buy.  Blogger has a new stats tool for keeping track of your hits (since its inception June 1, 2010) and that particular post is the all time winner, which is interesting because it tells me there's lots of people who are at least thinking of buying, or would like to buy, or are looking for good reasons to not buy and they're having arguments with themselves or others, which means they're thinking about buying. And then someone left a comment saying they didn't think the bottom of the market had come yet, and that commentor may have been correct. Well, some people are now beginning to think that it has, and that the bottom of the market in California may have been last year, 2009.

After two consecutive years of record-setting price declines, the median home price in California will climb 11.5 percent in 2010 to $306,500 and increase another 2 percent in 2011 to $312,500, according to the forecast. CAR Housing Market 2011 Forecast.

The bottom is behind us. John Karevoll, Dataquick at CAR 2010 Expo at Anaheim.

Foreclosure activity remains high by historical standards but is lower than peak levels reached over the last two years, and jumbo loans above $417,000 increased 15.7% from August 2009. DQ News.Com 9/2010.

The steady 9-month increase in median price for Los Angeles County could be another indicator.

For buyers, the price of a home and the availability and costs of a mortgage are two significant benchmarks. Is this your time? With prices still lower and, in spite of stringent underwriting by lenders, there are loans with low interest rates available. It could be your time.

A Market Snapshot for California Real Estate Activity for 2010 and 2011

The market predictions for 2011 were given out just prior to the California Association of Realtors Expo October 5-8, 2010.

The California median price for a single family house bottomed out in 2009 and in August 2010 the unsold inventory index was about 6.1 months, a market "normal". Unsold inventory by price is highest at the upper end of the market, and the lower end of the market is a 4 month supply. Affordability reached 70% in 2009 and 65% in 2010, meaning two out of three household can afford to buy an entry-level home in California. 

Median price for condos was $258,000 statewide, sales of condos were up in the Spring. First time homebuyers are 44% of the market, especially for condos. However, 20% down payment was the  median down payment statewide.

There are more non-distressed sellers coming on the market this year, comprising up to 59% of the market, while short sales are 22% of the market overall. Multiple offers (about 4) existed on 51% of properties in June, 2010. Sellers net about $35,000 in cash at close of escrow in 2010. FHA loans were used by 32% of all buyers.
Short sales or distressed property conditions were the reason for 29% of all sellers putting home on the market--a record number since the survey started.
Investors comprised about over 13% of purchasers, an active part of the economic recovery, while 5.3% were second home/vacation property purchases.
44% of buyers changed their minds after opening escrow, reflecting a great deal of fear and uncertainty about the market for many buyers.
2011 should bring a slight increase in sales volumeby 2% (to 502,000 units) and a slight increase in median home price of about 2% to $312,500 for the California median price. Interest rates are expected to remain low, with as much as a .5% increase in rates.

2011 should bring a prime opportunity to buy, but the actual number of move-up buyers and sellers is also of concern due to the number of owners with continuing negative equity in their homes who may hold off selling for a long period of time.

High cost loan limits ($729,750) will continue through September 2011, very important to the Califonria housing market, because the median home price is still significantly higher than the rest of the country.
Los Angeles County median home price is about $349,000, an increase of 2.8% over 2009. This is  also a reflection of the movement in the low end of the market where properties have moved much more rapidly than the high end where some prices have softened.


Overall, home prices in the state have either stabilized or improved.

The "shadow inventory" properties held by the banks are predicted to be in a 3-5 year window for the foreclosed properties to return to the normal market, but prices are likely to hold steady because it is not in the lenders' best interests to flood the market with properties.

There is upward movement in low-end prices where there is a lot of competition between first-time buyers and investors, more than in the $1,000,000-plus market where there is much more inventory.

Long Beach is a "microcosm" of the state -- high end areas over $1,000,000 and low end areas such as North Long Beach with a high proportion of distressed properties, and will probably mirror similar Los Angeles County area performances. The recovery for the city will not be uniform, and will be a reflection of its various internal markets.

Modest price appreciation in the future is a much more realistic expectation than the 20%-plus gains during the boom years which precipitated the market downturn.

"We expect a net jobs increase of approximately 1.4 million jobs in California for the year to come and an improvement in unemployment figures,” Leslie Appleton-Young (CAR) said.



From the California Association of Realtors annual Realtor survey and the Housing Market Forecast for 2011.