Showing posts with label Inventory. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Inventory. Show all posts

9/29/2016

California State and Regional Home Sales in August 2016

The August median home price for a California single family home was up to $526,000 in August, an increase from $498,000 in August 2015.

For the Southern California Region, the median home price was $496,000, an increase of over 6 percent from the same time last year.

The median single family home sales price in Long Beach was $546,750 (per CRMLS data), an increase from $537,000 last year.  The Long Beach months supply of inventory increased about 7% from last year to about 3 months of inventory.

As discussed at yesterday's Economics Panel the the California Association of Realtors Expo being held in Long Beach, 3 months of inventory appears to be the "new normal" (compared to 6 months in past years).  This ongoing level of inventory involves numerous factors, one of which is that owners are staying in their homes about 13 years (compared to 5-7 years in the past).



7/13/2015

Long Beach Area Hot Sheet Data Shows Trends Towards More Listings

Every day the MLS shows how many new listings, new escrows, or new sales in a given period of time.  Even though the market is still in a low inventory mode, there has been a trend lately of more new listings coming on the market vs. how many sold in a given period of time, i.e., 24 hours up to 7 days.  So for Long Beach, Lakewood, Signal Hill areas, there seems to be a "catch up" going on.  And even though you can read every day of the week in the Los Angeles Times about the latest multi-million dollar celebrity residence sale, recent sales in this area don't share that profile.  Between July 10th and July 13th, 27 houses or condos sold in these 3 areas, ranging from $235,000 (house)  to $1,070,000 (condo). These are represented by vastly different neighborhoods, and seeming show the far ends of the distribution curve for houses and condos. 
MLS Area Sold Stats for 7/10-7/13-2015

As showing at the right, the average price for these properties in this time period is $505,963.
While condos and houses are not normally used to compare with each other, this data is for trend purposes,.


New listings on the market for the same time and areas are 46, ranging from $175,000, to $3,450,000.   Three properties went into escrow right away, and 43 remain as active listings, with the average listing price being $628,072.  Whether this shows an upward trend in sales price remains to be seen, as the $3,450,000 property has been previously listed multiple times and not yet sold.
MLS Area New Listing/Active Stats for 7/10-7/13-2015


For buyers, this is a positive trend; for sellers, it's really nothing to get the least big panicked over, because over stats for June for Long Beach, for example, clearly show that there is less than 3 months of inventory for houses and condos.  This low level, which has been going on for very long periods of time, does not reflect a normal level of inventory, which traditionally means about 6 months, or perhaps double our current inventory.  Sellers often think that multiple bids due to housing shortage is favorable for them, which can be quite true, but not if you don't already have a home to move into after you sell.

If you are thinking of buying or selling, whether you have a house, condo or multiple units, give me a call for an evaluation of your selling position.
Lic# 01188996

1/19/2015

Cash Buyers Slowing, Home Price Gains and Low Inventory In Southern California

Looking toward downtown Long Beach from Bluff Park
For quite a while the price increases have been pretty noticeable, but on closer look it's not the same for all segments of the Southern California real estate market.  According to Dataquick,
"In December, the lowest-cost third of the region's housing stock experienced a 12.9 percent year-over-year increase in the median price paid per square foot for resale single-family detached houses. The annual gain was 6.3 percent for the middle third of the market and 2.3 percent for the top, most-expensive third."

And the Southern California six-county median price for a single family home is still 17% lower than the median peak price in 2007.  While all cash transactions are decreasing in some states and regions because prices have increased enough to make returns unattractive to real estate investors, low inventory is still prominent.  Overall, the number of home sales in Southern California was more than 8% less in 2014 when compared to 2013.  This need for more homes to sell is evident in just about every local city and zip code, especially in the market below $500,000.  In Long Beach in December, 2014, there were 371 houses for sale, which put the "months supply of inventory"  at 2.1 months, a decrease of 12.5% from December 2013.   Townhouses and condos were only slightly better at 2.2 months of inventory in Long Beach.  Normal inventory levels are for a 6 months supply.  The average home sale price in Long Beach was $535,000, while the median was $464,000 for December.

At the moment, there is a demand for houses in the more affordable $400,000-$500,000 range in the Long Beach area.  For a comparable sales analysis, always a good way to get a current market education, please contact me via phone or e-mail.  Even if you don't plan on selling right now, there are good reasons why you should get a good estimate of value from an experienced professional. (Remember, sites such as Zillow offer information based on tax records, which do not tell the whole story of your home's value.) In an economy where appraisals and mortgages are still quite stringent, a professional REALTOR is the best source for finding out about market value.




12/03/2013

What Are October Selling Prices in Long Beach/Cerritos/Lakewood Areas?


The average selling price for a single family home (based on MLS sales prices) for October 2013:

Long Beach - $541,985.

Cerritos -  $628,750.

Lakewood - $441,549.

Los Alamitos (including Rossmoor) -  $713,804.

Seal Beach - $910,563.

Cypress - $551,328.

San Pedro - $525,594.

Huntington Beach - $885,767.

The overall October snapshot of the local Long Beach metro area market (south LA and north Orange Counties) is that total sales are down compared to one year ago by about 18%, median sales price (the midpoint of all sales) is up by 20%, and listing inventory is down by almost 25% overall.

Build your own auto e-mail, and find and search properties in all cities in the area, and go to http://www.juliahuntsman.com/market-trends-report.html for more market information.

1/12/2013

California's Housing Market Projected to Rise in 2013

The good news is that prices are rising in California and the share of underwater mortgages is dropping, but the fact is that 29% of California mortgages are still "underwater" and 15% of them are still more than 125% loan-to-value.

Housing affordability is at records highs with California still over the 50% mark, meaning more than half of California households can afford to buy. Mortgage lending is very tight and "defensive", and appraisals are problematic (example: Many 20% down borrowers are finding their new property doesn't appraise as high as what they agreed to pay for it, but if they can put down another 10% of the purchase price, the lower loan-to-value erases the appraisal issue), and listing inventory is down by more than half compared to one year ago, so opportunity is scarcer.  In fact, in Los Angeles County, we have an average of 2 months of inventory--down from 8 months 2 years ago.  For December, Long Beach had 1.9 months of inventory. 

Why is this?  One reason is that many sellers are stuck where they are due to underwater value, or they are skeptical of moving on, and also because large amounts of foreclosed inventory is being bought up by investors in bulk and rented out.   Distressed sales volume is decreasing gradually, and in California statewide, equity sales are now about 64% of the market.  But expect short sales to stick around, they have been about 23-24% of the market since 2011.

2013 California Market Recovery
There is a pent-up housing demand, and job creation is one thing that can loosen up the housing market--the prediction is that new housing construction will begin again in California with the improvement in jobs. 

Each city and each area has it's own local real estate market, but tight inventory, short sales, and loan issues are very much a universal picture in the local, state and national areas.  Overall, the California market is predicted to increase in 2013.


And, another important fact:  According to a REALTOR survey, buyers are more optimistic than ever before about buying, in spite of all these other factors -- because housing affordability still makes this a great time to buy (something seller need to think about also).  Thanks to Leslie Appleton-Young, California Association of Realtors, and her report of January 11,2013.

For an agent very familiar with the Long Beach/Lakewood/Cerritos areas, please contact me at julia@juliahuntsman.com, or my phone!

12/18/2012

Increase of 24% in November Home Values in California Since 2011

November median prices for home sales in California have increased by double digits compared to one year ago, and the number of sales have also increased on a year-over-year basis as well.

Higher priced homes sold at increased numbers in November, even as sales declined overall in lower-priced areas due to fewer homes available for sale. In the Long Beach/Lakewood/Cerritos area, homes under the $500,000-$450,000 range in particular have sold very fast with multiple bids.  The California statewide median price for a single family detached home increased in November to $349,300, up from October's median of $341,370, an increase of 2.3%.  November's median price was up 24% from the November, 2011, and that is the biggest year-to-year increase since June, 2004!

Additionally, California's inventory for single family homes is down to 3.1 months overall (in some areas such as Riverside County, it's far less), and this is a decrease from 5 months of inventory one year ago.

Interest rates have dipped further to a November average of 3.35% for a fixed-rate 30-year mortgage; and it's taking fewer days to sell a home: an average of 37 days compared to 56 days one year ago.
Long Beach declining inventory 2012
Long Beach Housing Inventory Graph
 
In Los Angeles County, the median price is $337,000, an increase of 15% from one year ago, with the unsold inventory index at 2.9 months, down from 5.6 months one year ago (that means all existing unsold housing would sell at the current rate of sale within 2.9 months if no new listings come on the market--six months of inventory is more the number we should have.) And, this picture on inventory is not unique to Long Beach, it is typical of the local cities, county, state and national status of housing inventory.

As a side note, appraisals and buyer's lender financing issues have not away, which are topics for another post.
With the increase in prices, more homes are getting a little more equity--to find out what your values could possibly be, please find out your home's value from current and complete information directly from our Realtor MLS and tax inventory.  Even if you have no intention of selling in the near future, you may need market information about your property for a variety of reasons, such as re-financing, planning an estate, or just for your own information.

P.S. For a little Christmas spirit, see my photos of a few decorated houses at www.facebook.com/longbeachhomesandcondos -- and "like" me too.

6/26/2012

Every Day There is Another Story That Housing is Recovering, and Then It's Not: Read More

What is the real story on short sale numbers and borrower delinquencies? The story seems to vary on a daily basis.
But according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, which keeps track of these statistics, the delinquency/foreclosure rate was still 11.33% as of the end of the 1st quarter of 2012.  That's the lowest since 2008, but is still a lot of homeowners on a national basis.

6/04/2012

Sellers, Buyers Are Competing With Multiple Offers

Did you know that Long Beach and surrounding areas have less than two months of inventory?
This chart covers up to 2011, and the trend of multiple offers in the lower price ranges is even stronger in 2012.
Think you can't sell?  Think again, and call me.


3/24/2011

How Many Short Sale Listings in Belmont Heights, the Shore and Naples Areas?




 Currently, including actives and those taking backup offers, there are 20 single family properties in short sale status in the 90803 zip code. They range in price from $449,000 for 3923 E. Vista St. to $2,350,000 for 5649 E. Corso Di Napoli.
3923 E Vista is a two-bedroom 1923 bungalow style home in Belmont Heights, east of Redondo Ave, with a detached garage.
The Treasure Island home on Corso Di Napoli is a bay front home with open water view, and includes two 48' boat docks.
It is listed as a two-story house, with 3 bedrooms and 3 baths, and a 2-car garage.


5649 E Corso Di Napoli
 There are 12 more active short sale listings in this area, including 2703 E 2nd St, listed at $740,000 in Bluff Park Historic District. This property is a 1909 craftsman style house on a corner lot, and is waiting for an offer! This is a great price in a neighborhood where recent sales have closed over $1,000,000.

Since December 1, 2010, 3 short sale (single family) properties have closed in this zip code; 3 properties closed as bank-owned sales; and 25 were listed as "standard sales", out of a total of 33 sold in all categories in the same time period.

11/04/2009

Long Beach CA Sales Report for October 2009


For residential 1-4 unit properties in Long Beach (that includes condos, houses, lofts, for October 2009, the median price is down 3% from one year ago: $340,000 down to $329,000 for the city.

  • The number of sold properties reached a high point during the summer, but in October the total number of sales decreased by 20% from one year ago.
    It also took less time to sell a property in 2009 than in 2008.
  • One of the most dramatic pictures continues to be the decrease in inventory by over 50% since one year ago--
  • This has been a steady decline in inventory over the last 12 months, to just over a thousand residential properties on the market at the end of October 2009.
  • The number of properties in escrow is up by 23%.
  • The number of new properties listed is down by over 31% from one year ago.
  • What this all adds up to is the months' supply of inventory has decreased from 7 months one year ago, to 2 months this year, meaning at the current rate of sales, all housing inventory in the category would be gone in two months, if no new listings came on the market.

For buyers, especially in the market under $400,000, this has meant fierce competition, not just in Long Beach but in the entire Southern California area, since this is the market that is in the most demand for 1st time homebuyers that make up at least 60% of home sales at this time. Buyers in this range continue to be out bid by all cash, or more cash down payment, buyers. For this group of buyer it's very important to be persistant and to be patient (although after both buyer and agent have been through many many rejected offers, it takes even more fortitude than ever).

The West Coast market should be helped out in 2010 as the temporary jumbo loan limits initiated for 2009 have been extended through 2010 . Nevada, California and Florida are the top 3 states nationwide in number of foreclosure filings, and according to RealtyTrac, and October was the third consecutive month for a drop in numbers of foreclosed properties, however, what the impact of foreclosed inventory will bring in 2010 with new scheduled loan resets remains to be seen.

For a more specific look at your neighborhood or zip code and pricing your property to sell, please call me or e-mail me to receive a local report. To find all active listing on the market, go to the MLS property tab at www.juliahuntsman.com.

9/09/2009

Long Beach, Cerritos, Lakewood Unsold Inventory Index in Steady Decline

The residential inventory in many areas of Long Beach is steadily declining, as of today in Long Beach, there are 831 single family homes and condos listed as "active" in the MLS (down from about 870 just a few weeks ago), with 775 in escrow.
Cerritos has 66 active residential listings, and has 67 in escrow.
Lakewood has 99 active listings, and 148 residential properties in escrow.

The gap of available properties is closing.

The median price statewide has increased for the 5th straight month, as sales in lower priced inventory has dropped, and more sales occurred in the upper ranges.

While the suspense concerning future inventory continues, as the home supply backlog grows, it's important to keep in mind: nobody knows for certain how and when and where the increase in inventory will happen.

Per the California Association of Realtors August report:

"With inventory levels well below the long-run average, a supply shortage at the low to middle-tiers may have constrained sales in lower-priced homes and led to an increase in the median price. The supply of homes is expected to increase later this year as the number of foreclosures continues to rise from last year. However, the government and lenders’ efforts in modifying loans, combined with delays in processing the backlog of delinquencies may ease the number of defaulted loans, thus making a prediction on the number and timing of the flow of distressed properties less certain."

Find a residential or investment property through the MLS search.

8/25/2009

Fewer Homes to Buy as Sales Increase, Prices Jog Upward


Various industry sources have reported that June, 2009 showed the highest California median price this year at $274,740 (statewide median). June sales showed at 20 percent increase over the prior year. The statewide unsold inventory in June was at 4.1 months, locally the figure is even lower. Per the July 2009 report from California Association of Realtors: "The index is now 3.5 months lower than a year earlier and well below the peak of 16.6 months in early 2008. In fact, low inventories may constrain sales and contribute to upward pressure on home prices through the rest of the busy season."

The higher end properties are accounting for more sales, with properties below $500,000 accounting for about 76%, down from 85% at the beginning of the year. From March to June, the market share of distressed properties declined, contributing to the increase in median price.

Los Angeles County median sales price, July 2009, at $340,000; Orange County median at $490,000.

News about Southern California from Dataquick as of August 18th:

"In the region’s more affordable areas, many first-time buyers continued to choose government-insured FHA financing. Such loans were used to finance 37.2 percent of home purchases last month, up from 36.9 percent in June and 19.7 percent a year ago. "
"The recent drop in foreclosure resales, coupled with the rise in high-end sales, has helped stabilize some of the regional home price measures. But there’s still quite a bit of distress out there, and plenty of unknowns with regard to how lenders and borrowers will choose to proceed,” said John Walsh, DataQuick president.

And probably the most telling comment about the future:

“Even if we are at or near bottom,” he added, “history suggests we could bounce along that bottom for quite a while.”

8/19/2009

Sales Increasing Now, What Will Next Year Bring?



There is a great deal of talk lately about the upward climb in sales, that maybe we're seeing the bottom of the market, and that prices are down from this time last year, but it's the 5th straight month of sales increases, and the best sales record in several years . . . so maybe prices are stabilizing, or even headed up a little? That's happening in some places, and yesterday's great REO panel of experienced brokers even said it's impossible to underprice a property today because it will get multiple offers and sell for more.

But take a look at the Credit Suisse chart at the right and the pink part of the graph--the reset of the "option adjustable rate" loans. Those are the loans where the "start rate" of 1% were thought by many borrowers to be their permanent loan rate, and not the introductory rate which if always paid at that payment level (and most people did that), meant the remainder of the interest of the real interest rate was added on to their principal loan amount and thus increasing it. It was one more way to end up "under water" on the home value, and end up as a loan modification customer, a short sale candidate, a bankruptcy claimant, and/or as a foreclosure recipient. And then, most importantly, notice that the reset periods do not decline until well into 2012.

Along with the recent sales increase is declining inventory: In Long Beach today there are 877 active residential listings in the MLS, and there are 753 in escrow. Also, as of 8/18/2009, there are 1910 Notices of Default filed, 1224 Trustee Sales filed, and 1426 REO properties, not on the market yet, making a total of 4,560 properties not yet on the market. (Some of the NODs may have successful loan modifications, but there is also a separate study of the percentage of loan mods that end up failing and do end up in foreclosure.) These figures are for Long Beach alone--similar profiles could be drawn for cities throughout the State of California.

Tied in with this is the talk of "shadow inventory" and the rumors that banks will flood the market with all of their pent-up inventory at once. But that is unlikely to happen in such an overt way, despite the hope of many prospective buyers who believe a $400,000 house might eventually sell for $25,000. Received yesterday in my e-mail from DSnews.com:

Perhaps it’s “government pressure to clean up balance sheets,” or the thawing out of home sales, the need for capital, or the growing pool of players in the mortgage-backed assets market. Whatever the motivation, more banks are beginning to unwind their positions in toxic residential loans.

See this story about a Milwaukee-based bank that sold 800 troubled Arizona mortgages to an undisclosed investor, thus clearing $297 million of bad loans from its balance sheets. Will this trend catch on with major banks who decide to sell off in bulk to cut their losses? There seems to be more interest now by investors willing to acquire properties associated with "toxic loans".

The current shrinking inventory may be a combination of things: the loan modifications, the foreclosure moratoriums which have been delaying filings, and the ultimate decisions by banks as to the handling of foreclosed properties, plus the "catching up" with loans in default for months and that are yet to go into foreclosure. Those involved with the REO market believe that over time, perhaps as soon as in a few short months, the inventory will once again increase greatly, continuing to affect housing market prices, and the real estate market will not fully recover from the effects of the subprime market until 2012-2014, as indicated by the chart above.

So what should equity sellers do? Take advantage of this period of time, and realize that now, when there is less competition and many cash buyers (accounting for one-third of the multiple offers on many REO properties), may be a better time to sell than a year from now, when you could end up being a short sale if your equity continues to decline with the market. In some areas short sales and bank-owned properties already dominate the inventory; in the last year certain zip codes that seemed immune, or less impacted, to these issues are now common, such as:
  • In 90803, 23% of the 177 active and pending listings are distressed sales
  • In 90802, 68% of the 280 active and pending listings are distressed sales

and in the future, if the local and statewide foreclosure statistics are any indication, distressed sales will impact equity sales even more severely than they are now.

If you would like to know about the current market value of your home, please contact me. To see properties on the market in your area, you may search by zip code or city, price, etc., at the MLS property search button at http://www.juliahuntsman.com/.

7/29/2009

Existing Home Sales Rise for Third Straight Month

It's starting to sound like a broken record but we keep getting more and more positive news about the housing market.

The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of previously owned homes increased at a faster-than-expected annual pace. Existing home sales increased at a 3.6% rate and had its third straight monthly gain.

This is the first time since early 2004 that we have had three straight months of increasing sales and points to the housing market continuing to heat up. They also reported that inventories of existing homes were down 0.7%. With inventories declining and home sales increasing, now is the time to jump into the market before these low home prices are history.


Which leads to another topic that has been making the rounds: that there is a "shadow" inventory held by banks which when released onto the market, will bring prices down even further. Not so fast, say some mortgage brokers I've talked to. It's very unlikely that large amounts of such inventory will be released simultaneously by banks. For one thing, major lenders are in the process of negotiating many loan modifications and would probably not release major inventory onto the market in any one area which could then depress prices, and their existing mortgage loans, even further. It could also depress equity sellers' values causing some of those to go into short sales if prices declined due to a flood of REO inventory.


The fact is, the $300,000 price range is and has been very competitive for investor buyers, and almost impossible for first-time owner occupant buyers for months now.


As the sales activity has indicated, what we need are more reasonably priced listings on the market. Sellers, are you listening?
See www.juliahuntsman.com for more real estate information.

3/10/2009

The Long Beach Market Inventory Slips Below 6 Months Supply

For February 2009, out of 11 zip codes in this report for Long Beach, only one zip code area had slightly more than 6 months' supply of inventory--in some areas the inventory for detached housing was as low as 1.6 months supply. This is a definite decrease from December 2008 when the months' inventory spread was from 2.9 to a high of 9.1 months of supply.

For attached housing (i.e., condos) the inventory supply is more: Across the same zip codes, the months' supply extended from 2.0 to 7.6, with the biggest inventory for condos under $400,000.

Comparing all of Long Beach to detached properties (houses) in other cities, Long Beach has 3 months inventory supply overall, which is more than La Palma, Cypress, Lakewood, Cerritos, La Mirada, Buena Park and Norwalk have, in that order. La Palma is down to .9 months of inventory left, overall. However, certain price categories may be different than the overall picture: for instance, houses in the $300,000 to $400,000 price range in Cerritos have 6 months, the greatest amount of supply, with some higher price ranges down to 1.1 months of inventory supply.

As you might already know, the 6 month line in real estate cycles is nationally considered the benchmark between a buyer's or a seller's market, so for some locations in these cities, choice for a buyer may now be more critical than in the past 2-3 years. "Supply and demand in the housing market is considered balanced when the inventory settles at about six months," according to the National Association of Realtors.

At least two reasons for this decline in inventory are great difficulty for buyer qualification for loans and loan origination guidelines which are increasingly stringent; and/or sellers not getting their price and thus taking properties off the market.

So for sellers who are ready to take advantage of this market, whether you're selling short or you've got equity, you may find a buyer!

12/03/2008

What's For Sale in Long Beach under $300,000?

In October, 2007, I wrote a post about properties under $300,000. The picture has changed considerably:
Then, there were 360 houses, condos, co-ops, and own-your-owns available in Long Beach. And now, there are 737 in the same category under $300,000. That's DOUBLE the inventory in that price range! And, the bonus is that right now interest rates are even lower, and may go as low as 4.5% for a 30-year fixed (see Treasury Considers Plan to Stem Home-Price Decline ), and even as we write, the mortgage applications more than doubled last week. Lots of loan guidelines have changed in the last year--one of the important things to remember is that a decrease in your interest rate lowers your payment immediately, as opposed to trying to save more money for your down payment. Try an internet real estate calculator to make simple P&I comparisons.


In the meantime, what is available for about $250,000? MLS P665655 (listing photos shown) is a one-bedroom condo in Stoneybrook, a nice condominium association on the edge of Alamitos Heights and a 5-minute drive to Belmont Shore. List price is $251,000, 13 days on the market as of today, and the association features a beautiful planted landscape with walkways and streams, spa, sauna, two swimming pools, a large clubhouse, tennis courts, weight and locker rooms. Gated parking is located under each condo building, with elevator access to upper floors.
For more info on this or other buying opportunities, just contact me!

6/19/2008

Yep, More News on California's Rise In Sales, and Prices

I hope all buyers are taking note of the following right now, because if this buying trend is true as a lot of recent sales indicates it is, the trickle-up effect will take place for homes in the higher price ranges.

From Associated Press today:

As foreclosures push down California housing prices, first-time home buyers surge into the market. The California median home price fell 30 percent in May, the sharpest decline in 20 years, since DataQuick Information Systems began keeping records. The drop in home prices has sparked a home-buying rally that's beginning to reverse more than two years of monthly year-over-year sales declines. "Inland markets hit hardest by foreclosures and falling prices are now the most likely to post higher sales than last year," says Andrew LePage, a DataQuick analyst. "These communities have been attracting first-time buyers, first-time move-up buyers and investors." Richard Cosner, president of Prudential California Realty, says buyers of homes whose prices have declined in the last 18 months from $400,000 to $200,000 must compete with multiple bidders. "For the first-time homebuyers and for that bottom tier of homes, we've found what the bottom of the pricing is," Cosner says.

'Voice this!

6/13/2008

Recent Market Activity in Long Beach--It's A "Sold" Time

The constant reporting on the number of foreclosures, i.e., such as this today from Inman News:
"California had the highest volume of foreclosure filings, with filings reported on 71,930 properties" is not saying what else is going on.

Unfortunately, I've had less time recently to devote to writing as many posts, but in checking the local Southern California MLS today for all residential and commercial listings, including leases, there are 2,473 active listings, with 555 in escrow (backup and pending categories).

Since April 1st, 564 properties have closed escrow; of that same number, in the last 30 days, 238 properties have closed escrow. Is it just because it's Spring and Summer, or is the market actually picking up. Another casual statistic overheard today is that Long Beach's inventory has in the past few weeks been reduced by one-third.

If activity in recent weeks is any indication, $300,000 is the bottom of the market in many areas for single family residences and $200,000 is the bottom for 2-bedroom condos. The bank-owned properties are so attractively priced in many cases that the investors and first-time buyers are having to compete with each other in multiple offer situations. In the last week, one condo was on the market 4 days and received 15 offers, another single family received 30 offers, and the same story for two other houses in the South Bay, also just listed days before, in residential neighborhoods. The winning offers on these properties were as much as $50,000 over asking price (in the case of the condo) and $20,000-$30,000 for the houses in this scenario, as-is, no repairs.

In spite of more activity, loan requirements are not necessarily that much easier, for example, some banks are going to 15% down payment requirements after July 1 (for conventional loans), and all lender sources have tightened up their FICO requirements. If you're buying a condo, be aware that new FNMA guidelines are requiring a closer look at the HOA's financial reserve funding status, plus a few other issues.

So if you're interested in a property, maybe this is finally the time for you to find your new home. You can take a look at http://www.juliahuntsman.com, but for a more targeted search, go to HomeBuyers Market (where you can mute the auditory on the video if you want to just watch).

'Voice this!

2/12/2008

Top 10 Ways Sellers Can Guarantee Their Home Won't Sell

Paul Pastore’s Top 10 Ways Sellers Can Guarantee Their Home Won’t Sell:

"1. Be casual, not serious, about selling. A sage once quipped, “Money is only important when you don’t want something enough.” Actions speak louder than words in this market. Discretionary sellers should wait for a less competitive environment.

"2. Price it wrong. A home properly priced is half sold. No amount of full-color ads, glossy fliers, multiple photos, virtual tours, agent luncheons, Goodyear blimps, pom-pom girls or Saint Joseph statues will compensate for a wrong, timid retail price.

"3. Ignore your agent. Attorneys believe if you represent yourself, you have a fool for a client. Doctors don’t self-diagnose. Professionals use professionals. Even though many people believe they’re experts on raising kids and real estate, full-time, career pros usually know what’s best. Listen to them very carefully.

"4. Micromanage the marketing. If you sold cookware in college, carts in California, or carpeting in Cranston, it does not qualify you to second-guess your agent. If you had a real estate license years ago, save your stories about the “good old days” for your children. You can share your concerns and timelines, but leave the details to the listing pro.

"5. Reject staging suggestions. Someday shag multi-colored, sculptured carpeting will come back. Whitewashed cabinets, Navajo white walls, linoleum flooring, southwest decor, lots of personal photos, and Elvis paintings on black velvet need to go. Now.

"6. Let Fido loose. I recently entered a house and had two frisky, friendly black Labs run up to sniff me. Unfortunately, I had light-gray dress slacks on that day. Both wet stains lasted for hours. Until that day I didn’t realize dogs enjoyed chewing the tassels on expensive loafers.

"7. Talk to the buyers. Life gets lonely at times. Why not ask the buyers where they grew up? Or how much they qualify for. Tell them about the vacant rental next door. Maybe they could baby-sit next weekend! Why not share war stories, horror movies or meatloaf recipes?

"8. Sell personal items. Wow, maybe the buyers want to buy the patio furniture, rotary lawnmower, or life-size statue of Saint Anthony. You have only four more boxes of Girl Scout cookies to sell. Why not ask for a donation for the March of Dimes, the Humane Society, the local PBS station? Remember the saying, “loose lips sink ships.”

"9. Discount that smell. My house doesn’t smell of pets, baby diapers, curry powder, garlic, fried fish, coconut incense, cigars, manure, mulch, dairy farms or low tide. The buyer must be confusing my castle with a tract home.

"10. Dismiss feedback. What do buyers know anyway? They can’t possibly mind my barbed wire fence, heavy-duty rebar, backyard bomb shelter, airport runway views, lights from the power plant, hum from the high-voltage lines, railroad tremors, scorpion skeletons, termite mud tubes and pet snakes. What are they thinking?"

Copyright © 2008 RE/MAX International Inc. 2/4/08
'Voice this!

9/04/2007

Can You Buy on $100,000 Income? Yes!

"The minimum household income needed to purchase an entry-level home at $504,080 in California in the second quarter of 2007 was $101,550, based on an adjustable interest rate of 6.29 percent and assuming a 10 percent down payment. First-time buyers typically purchase a home equal to 85 percent of the prevailing median price. The monthly payment including taxes and insurance was $3,380 for the second quarter of 2007." (California Association of Realtors, August 29, 2007.)

With downward changes in the market in some areas, the buyer affordability levels become a little more positive. The percentage of households that can afford to buy in today's market has increased one percent from the 2nd quarter last year to 24%. The index goes up a little more for those who can find that 100% loan that matches their buying profile, or for those who have a larger down payment than 5%.

In today's search in the MLS for just 3 zip codes in downtown, Belmont Heights/Shore, Bixby Knolls/California Heights areas of Long Beach (90802, 90803, 90807), a total of 203 condos and houses over 2 bedrooms came up under the asking price $504,080. On your monthly payment, add in HOA dues which are usually $200 at least for condominiums. For single buyers looking for lower prices in the $300,000 range, this figure does not include one-bedroom condominiums.

I am meeting quite a few people paying $2500-$2800 a month in rent. These are the people balking at paying perhaps a higher mortgage + taxes + insurance payment, but they're receiving no tax deduction benefit and no home equity. Tax deductions include mortgage interest, property taxes, plus other deductions (consult your accountant), according to your current tax margin which for a lot of people is about 35%. What a renter has, in a gradually shrinking rental housing inventory, is a 30 or 60-day notice to find a new home, and no long-term benefits.

Here you have at least 203 opportunities to buy in these 3 zip codes alone--why not search out all of your opportunities while you can look without pressure? It's much easier than the other scenario of limited time and uncertain choices.


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