Where Are the Buying Opportunities for You?

Just a few points about the 2008-2009 California housing market overall:

Key findings from C.A.R.’s “2008-2009 State of the Housing Market” report include:

Approximately one in five home sales was due to foreclosure, short sale, or default.

Consistent with the increasing trend of distressed sales, almost one of five (19.8 percent) sellers sold their property because the property was in foreclosure, short sales, or default, an increase of 6 percent from 2007.

Distressed properties sold during 2008 had a median sales price of $330,000, a median price per square foot of $197, and a median size of 1,600 square feet.

More than half of the distressed properties sold were Real Estate Owned (REO) (54.8 percent), almost one-third were short sales (31.2 percent) and the remainder were foreclosures (14.1 percent).

Non-distressed properties had a median price of $541,000, a median price per square foot of $315, and a median size of 1,766 square feet.

Lowest Interest Rates in 50+ Years

The e-mails from the lenders are pouring in to my inbox this morning. As of this morning, the 30 year fixed Fannie Mae Rate (conventional loans) is now 4.375%, and the FHA 30 year fixed is 4.750%!!! Even Jumbo 30 year fixed rates to $3 million are now 5.375%!!! And, if you're willing to pay a point (not a bad thing if you plan on living in your home for several years), your rate can be even lower, saving you thousands over the life of your loan, and maybe hundreds off your payment now.

Get on board with the new buying opportunity! Please contact me immediately if you would like to be prequalified for a higher purchase price.

The Cost of Waiting to Buy

I couldn't possibly say this any better, and I've been saying it in the past in several different ways, so I'm going to give you Pat Zaby's article on the topic:

Cost of Waiting to Buy by Pat Zaby

The financial news is full of stories warning about the inability to predict the bottom of the stock market. A 40% decrease in stock prices in one year have uncovered some great values available for investors and buying them at their absolute lowest price will not make much difference for the people who hold them for a while.

Home prices are very much the same. There has been a correction in the market and prices are down in most parts of the country. Combine these with the attractive rates currently available and it is a bargain that everyone will look back on saying that "this was the best time to buy."

Let's make an assumption that the prices may still decline 5% more before they start appreciating again. If while a buyer was waiting for the price on a $250,000 to go down 5% to $237,500, and the interest rate goes up one percent from 5.25% to 6.25%, which is entirely possible, the buyer's monthly payments will increase almost $79 per month.

For most buyers, the monthly payment to control the cost of the home is much more important than the price paid or even the equity in the home.

Or, read on about Warren Buffett's response to the current economic situation, where he says he's never seen people so fearful as now, BUT, he's buying.

Real Estate Downfall, or "Life in the Bunkers"

Taking a break from serious writing here ... (by the way, my last You Tube post was a nice piece on home staging):

What's For Sale in Long Beach under $300,000?

In October, 2007, I wrote a post about properties under $300,000. The picture has changed considerably:

Then, there were 360 houses, condos, co-ops, and own-your-owns available in Long Beach. And now, there are 737 in the same category under $300,000. That's DOUBLE the inventory in that price range! And, the bonus is that right now interest rates are even lower, and may go as low as 4.5% for a 30-year fixed (see Treasury Considers Plan to Stem Home-Price Decline ), and even as we write, the mortgage applications more than doubled last week. Lots of loan guidelines have changed in the last year--one of the important things to remember is that a decrease in your interest rate lowers your payment immediately, as opposed to trying to save more money for your down payment. Try an internet real estate calculator to make simple P&I comparisons.

In the meantime, what is available for about $250,000? MLS P665655 (listing photos shown) is a one-bedroom condo in Stoneybrook, a nice condominium association on the edge of Alamitos Heights and a 5-minute drive to Belmont Shore. List price is $251,000, 13 days on the market as of today, and the association features a beautiful planted landscape with walkways and streams, spa, sauna, two swimming pools, a large clubhouse, tennis courts, weight and locker rooms. Gated parking is located under each condo building, with elevator access to upper floors.

For more info on this or other buying opportunities, just contact me!

Holiday Things to Do and See in Long Beach

If you were a tourist in the area, what would you like to visit? (Or, maybe you live here, but you're looking for something to do in the holiday period.)

The Long Beach Museum of Art, in a former turn-of-the-20th-century residence, is on the bluff overlooking the Pacific Ocean, with Claire's Cafe, outdoor sculpture, and recent gallery addition.

The Aquarium of the Pacific has winter day camps, educational programs for children, holiday events, harbor cruises, the aviary and the Shark Lagoon, an online learning center, and many many exhibits throughout its halls. Not to be missed. And visit the Queen Mary's hotel, ballroom, restaurants and shops--this is a historic ship still retaining many original features. El Dorado Park is one of the largest area parks in Los Angeles County--ponds, ducks, lots of parking, and has a Nature Center with walking trails.

And, for more gardens, visit the Earl Burns Miller Japanese Garden at CSU Long Beach. The campus is also home to the Richard and Karen Carpenter Performing Arts Center, and its holiday schedule of events--easy parking access off of Atherton.

For an easy walk over water, try the Belmont Pier or the Seal Beach Pier just over the line in Orange County. You might be there in time for the Christmas Parade in Belmont Shore or the Seal Beach Christmas Parade in Old Town, or take a holiday boat ride for the Harbor Lights.

If you're looking for property while you're here, please visit my property search page, or give me a call at 562-896-2609.

Freddie Mac Suspension of Foreclosure Sales

Hope you have a Happy Thanksgiving.

Starting today, sale of single family homes and 2-4 units on loans held by Freddie Mac will not be sold until the suspension period is over on January 9, 2009. Vacant single family homes are excluded from this suspension. This is to allow more time for Freddie Mac's loan modification program to be implemented. Read the Do's and Don'ts of Foreclosure.

If you are in this position, or close to it, please don't stop answering your phone or reading your mail. Lenders are now attempting loan modification programs, and engaging representatives to speak to you in person. (Ask for identification.) You could be hurting your chances of success if you ignore the many attempts made to contact you; some loan modification programs are the only chance the borrower will have to catch up, until you improve your FICO score and can get an improved refinance. If you would like to know more, please call me.

Are You Taking Advantage of Your Decline in Market Value and Homeowner Exemptions?

Do you know about your property tax reduction option? Generally, the median home price in California is about the same as 2004, so if you bought your residence after that time, you might want to apply to the Los Angeles County Assessor for a reduction. You have until the end of this month to get your application in, so there's not much time left, but basically, you need to find two comparable properties that support your application that sold close to January 1 and through March 31 of 2008. The Assessor's site has the form and directions needed for this. You can find your own comparables through this site, but if you want help from me, please e-mail me or call me, and I will gladly provide you, via e-mail, with MLS closed listings.

If you live in Orange County, please contact your tax assessor there.

Also, some people may not be filing their Homeowner's exemption -- you may obtain a $7000 reduction in your assessed tax value (that's usually based on the selling price of your home). Originally, $7000 was a significant amount when the home values were $35,000. Today, you may get about $50-$70 off your total tax dollars owed, but a penny saved is a penny earned. You can download the form from the Los Angeles County site, for this and other exemptions including those for veterans, instititutions, real property transfer exclusions between parent/child and grandparent/child, seniors' exclusions, and disaster relief.

Lender-Owned Property Inventory in Long Beach Areas

As mortgage lenders develop their loan workout programs, the number of lender-owned properties coming on the market may slow down. In the meantime, many REO (real estate owned, or bank owned) properties are an opportunity for the investors and 1st-time buyers who are ready to buy.

Long Beach - 14% of the single family houses and condos listed in the CARETS-SoCalMLS (new expanded version of combined MLSs in Los Angeles, Riverside, Orange and San Bernardino Counties as of 11/11/2008!) are REO properties: 228 out of a total of 1,636.

Multi-unit (2+ units): 11%, 44 out of a total of 389.

(for photo at right, see post on Long Beach Ebell)

Cerritos - 10% of SFRs and condos: 11 out of a total of 112.

Lakewood - 13% of SFRs and condos: 29 out of a total of 226.
Multi-unit listings: 0 out of 9 listings.

Signal Hill - 11% of SFRs and condos: 5 out of a total of 55.
Multi-unit listings: 0 out of 10 listings.

Huntington Beach - 6% of SFRs and condos: 42 out of a total of 647.
Multi-units: 0 out of a total of 55.

Los Alamitos/Rossmoor - 5% of SFRs and condos: 4 out of a total of 73.

Seal Beach - 1% of SFRs and condos: 1 out of a total of 68.

Cypress - 4% of SFRs and condos: 4 out of a total of 90.

San Pedro - 4% of SFRs and condos: 11 out of a total of 280.
Multi-units: 14%, 2 out of 14.

Active listings only are given here, but for reference, per Dataquick on 10/23: "Foreclosure resales have emerged as a major market factor, accounting for 47.6 percent of all California resale activity last quarter." Not all market areas are equally impacted.

What is not shown in the list above are other "special condition" listings, such as short sales, probates, relocation or bankruptcy listings. The short sale listings in particular are an indication of future REO listings. For a list of short sale listings, please contact me.

For a comprehensive list of REO properties not all of which may be listed on the MLS, contact me.

For information on guidelines for loan modification, please contact me. I may be able to help you with Countrywide, Washington Mutual/Chase, IndyMac, Citigroup and the Hope for Homeowners.

What's the Life Expectancy of Your Home?

Consumerism has taught us to think about fast replacement, instead of "making it last".

How long will your house last? Watching the house restoration shows on TV should give some clues, but here's some specifics from a Los Angeles Times article by Calvin Woodward dated 2/16/1997, and more from the a 2006 National Assn of Homebuilders home life expectancy chart:

Dishwasher - 10 years

Microwave - 9-11 years (mine was going strong at 16 years)

Brick, masonry, stone wall - 100 years

Wood decks - 15-20 years

Garage door openers - 10-15 years

Furnaces - 15-20 years

Drywall -

Heat/Smoke detectors - 5-10 years

Natural stone counters - lifetime

Cultured marble counters - 20 years

Kitchen cabinets - 50 years

Garage/laundry cabinets - 100 years

Gas range - 15 years (that depends, too, some are 50-60 years old or more)

Wood flooring - 100 years +

Vinyl floors - 50 years

Carpet - 8-10 years (depends on traffic)

Roof, asphalt or wood shingles and shakes- 15-30 years; slate, 50-100 and more

Gutters - 30 years

Concrete walk - 24 years

Swimming pool - 18 years

PVC piping - 25 years

Polyvinyl fences - lifetime

Asphalt driveway - 15-20 years

These are general guidelines only, because quality of maintenance is a strong factor in the life of any of these items. Geography is the other: a salt-air climate will have a much different impact than a dry desert climate.