Complacency Could Kill Real Estate Opportunity

What does the California Homeowner Bill of Rights Mean for You?

Gov. Jerry Brown signed this Bill of Rights on July 11, 2012 and it will take effect on January 1, 2013.  This law will help homeowners avoid foreclosure by prohibiting lenders from engaging in "dual tracking", by requiring a single point of contact for the borrower, and by giving the borrower the right to sue the lender for violations of this law.  It applies to first trust deeds on owner-occupied properties that are 1-4 units. 

The single point of contact doesn't necessarily mean the borrower will deal with only one person throughout the process, but it means "one person at a time." 

What California borrowers wanted was protection from the foreclosure process when trying to obtain a loan modification--the foreclosure department in the bank was not talking to the loan modification department and the borrower who thought they were well on their way to keeping their home, suddenly lost it in foreclosure. 

There is much more information and guidelines in this law, so for more information, please contact me with your contact information and I can e-mail or fax the entire summary about this law to you.

Don't be one of the homeowners who loses a home without searching out your other options.  Foreclosure may affect you in many ways, including candidacy for future jobs, obtaining some insurance premiums, and much more, because credit histories are often reviewed by a wide variety of sources in your life, which will make determinations about you based on what they see there.  Do all you can to avoid the pitfall of foreclosure--find free information here.

What's the 2013 Prediction for California Home Prices?

Assumptions:

The PITI is based on the prevailing median price in the

2nd Quarter 2012. The PITI is calculated based on an

 underlying effective FRM interest rate of 3.92%,

 a 20% downpayment,

and corresponding loan amount.

The monthly rent is derived from

RealFacts Q2 2012 estimates for a

3bd 2ba average asking rent.

The California Association of Realtors annual conference was held earlier this month in Anaheim.  The 2013 Forecast extensively covered all phases of the residential market, with a total of 136 PowerPoint slides as part of CAR economist Leslie Appleton-Young's annual presentation. 

At the closing section, Market Opportunities for 2013, four points were made:  1) Home prices are rising, but still very attractive; 2) Look for return on interest for investment opportunities; 3) interest rates are at historic lows; and finally, 4) first-time buyers: rent v. buy?  Do The Math!.

The current story for many buyers and sellers has twists and turns all along the road, but it's still a time to not be passed up!

For California, the median price of a single family home is projected to rise in 2013 from $317,000 at the end of 2012 up to $335,000 in 2013.  At this point, buyers are more optimistic than sellers about future home prices:  49% of sellers think prices will go down in one year, and 9% of sellers think they will go up.  But while 49% of buyers think prices will stay flat, 25% of buyers think prices will go up.  And those buyers are probably going to be right--last year the projected price increase for 2012 was for a 1.7% increase, but the current projected actual increase by the end of 2012 is 10.9% increase.

Median home price for So Cal Counties

The median home price in Los Angeles County went up over 10% from August 2011 to August 2012, with REO sales making up only 12% and short sales making up 24% of the total sales in August 2012.

The Mortgage Debt Relief Act Is Hanging in the Balance For Long Beach Area Owners

In 2007, the Mortgage Debt Relief Act was passed in an attempt to help the millions of homeowners who, due to the housing crisis and economic crash, suddenly found themselves in danger of losing their home to foreclosure.

The act has helped many California distressed homeowners find solutions to avoid foreclosure and opened up options to them that were previously unavailable.  This Act removed the tax responsibility on forgiven mortgage debt and allowed short sale sellers and owners of foreclosed homes to recover more quickly from selling their principal residence as a distressed property.  

 

Although there is less coverage in the media about homeowners who owe more than their home is worth, those owners make up about 22% of the nation's homeowners.

The Mortgage Debt Relief Act, however, was only intended to be a temporary solution and is now set to expire at the end of 2012.  This law has already been extended twice.  There is a bill in Congress that would extend it again, but it is unclear if it will pass. For distressed homeowners, this means that time is limited to take advantage of this program.

Time is running out. But there is still a chance to change your financial direction and avoid foreclosure.  Call today to find out the current process for listing and selling your property as a short sale--the banks have streamlined their process greatly compared to the past, and limited inventory has made buyers more willing to wait for the short sale process.

Just one more thing: please don't think that if this law is not extended, that a short sale is not possible because that is not true.  What it means is that the tax forgiveness period will be over, which will impact both short sales and foreclosed properties.  Please remember that with a short sale, with the vast majority of properties, there is less of a loss for the bank to accept than when it is not sold and goes straight into foreclosure. Either way, the homeowner will be responsible for this difference between the bank's loss and the mortgage amount, if the MDRA is not extended.

 

Contact me, Julia Huntsman, CDPE, at 562-896-2609 and see more short sale information at www.juliahuntsman.com - Help for Homeowners.

Los Angeles and Orange Counties Home Price Snapshot

Orange County's median single family home price was Orange County $567,710 in August 2012, up from $551,160 in July 2012, and up from $508,910 in August 2011.

Median price of a single family home in Los Angeles County was $344,770 in August 2012, up from $334,190 in July 2012, and up from $312,900 in August 2011.

Home Improvement Tips--Cost vs. Value Report

There's a lot of information available about getting a new look for your home, or getting it prepared for marketing, or just getting it fixed.  But how do you know the best areas to invest your time and effort?  Every year Remodeling Magazine publishes its online report -- it's a great resource to consult with to find out what your best choices might be, both from a popularity standpoint and a financial one.  If you're thinking about or considering selling, why spend tons of money or time on a big improvement that may be your best personal choice (if you're going to live there indefinitely), but not one that the majority of buyers may deem significant, or vice-versa? Find out what the trends may be in your region. The improvement picks are not necessarily the same each year.  The annual "Cost vs Value" report for 2012 is not out yet, but should be soon, but here is the link to the Los Angeles area version from 2011.

Also, If you go to www.juliahuntsman.com and scroll down to "Houselogic", you can click and go to their main website for more home improvement tips and maintenance.  This is a really useful resource as you can save items to make your own collection.  Houselogic is another great resource from the National Association of Realtors.

Frankly, when it comes to home colors, I go to a store like Dunn-Edwards and get their paint color chips--they also have very nice brochures putting together a coordinated palette of colors for interiors and exteriors--as well as colors that could be used for various architectural styles and periods. Historical colors can be important, especially if you're located in a historic district where there may be local rules or guidance on period color selection.

If you use Facebook, "like" my page at www.facebook.com/longbeachhomesandcondos while you're there and you can follow my blog posts where I put out information for both buyers and sellers, or just look at my blog at www.longbeachrealestate.blogspot.com from time to time!

Best Time Ever to Save on a Mortgage Payment in Southern California

30-year mortgage rates since Sept. 2007

Dear Buyers:

Did you know rates are about 3.49% right now? Best time ever to save on a new mortgage payment in the Long Beach, California area!

Rates have trended downward since 2008, and that means you will pay less on your monthly mortgage payment for the same selling price. 

See what your monthly median payment will be at different interest rates and different selling prices.

The lower chart was made up when interest rates were a little higher, but get out your calculator to easily compute a selling price at a lower rate as follows:

Comparisons at higher rates/higher prices

For a home priced at $400,000, with a 20 percent downpayment and a 4 percent mortgage rate, the monthly PITI (principal, interest, insurance and taxes) will be $1,990 for the homebuyer. The monthly PITI jumps to $2,180 at 5 percent and to $2,380 at 6 percent. For each one percentage point increase in the mortgage rate, the payment goes up by almost $200 under these assumptions. Even for a lower priced home at $200,000, the difference in the monthly payment is significant as each percentage point rise in the mortgage rate tacks on $100 to the monthly PITI.  So, for a $400,000 home at today's 3.49 percent mortgage rate, the monthly PITI would be about $1885, and a savings of over $100 at a 4 percent rate.

Pulsenomics, in its latest quarterly survey shows housing prices for the future.
Price appreciation/depreciation expected over the next five years:
2012: -.4%
2013: +1.3%
2014: +2.6%
2015: +3.2%
2016: +3.5%

The average pre-bubble (1987-1999) annual appreciation was 3.6%.
(Thanks to KCM Blog for Pulsenomics data.)

New and Easier Guidelines for FHA Approval of Homeowner Associations

The fallout rate for FHA approved homeowner associations has been huge over the last 2 years. FHA-approved condominiums are often one of the best entry level paths for first time buyers into homeownership.  But the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) just eased some of its restrictive guidelines, bringing their rules into the sphere of the current economic market, and bringing more opportunity to sellers and buyers.

One example of change is the acceptance of FHA loans in complexes which included commercial units--often located on the first floor, such as the Lafayette in downtown Long Beach or one of the newer loft projects in San Pedro.  The revised rules changed from allowing 25% to now allowing 35% of the project to be retail or commercial, and possibly more.

Another difficult requirement concerning the personal legal liability for condo board officers for being responsible for certain knowledge that could be well beyond their actual ability to know, with a penalty up to 30 years in prison, has now been changed to "less scary language."

And, significant in these economic times, the requirements concerning delinquent dues and length of time delinquent has been expanded to 15% of owners may be up to 60 days late (not the previous 30 days) to meet FHA approval for the project. 

While these may not seem like significant changes to some, by checking the list of FHA approved projects in Long Beach, compared to the far greater number that were FHA approved for many years, it's not difficult to see the impact on buyers, sellers, and the lending market.  See the complete article by Kenneth Harney.

Market Update, And More Home Price Directions Are Moving UP

California prices by county

The median price paid for a Southern California home rose to $309,000 in August--that's an overall median for Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties--that's an increase of 10% compared to August 2011, and the highest median price since August 2008's median of $330,000.

Short sales and foreclosures (the distressed property market) are trending downward by 1%-2% from  July and previous months.  That does not mean they are going away, because the distressed property market is predicted to be here for a long time into the future.  The good news is that higher prices mean a lift out of the short sale category for some prospective sellers, or a higher net from a sale to put towards a new purchase. Short sales in the 6-county area were about 17% of sales, but locally, there are specific areas where they are still 50% or more of the market.

Drops in foreclosure inventory,  increases in sales of higher priced properties are part of the increase in home price.  The increase in numbers of properties in escrow is impacted by the lowest interest rates since the 1940s, which are likely to stay that way for some time into the future, this August was the highest August sales in the last 6 years.  The volume of sales however, is still 15% below the average calculated since 1988.

Investors, or "absentee buyers" bought 27% of the homes last month, and buyers paying with cash were 31%, paying a median amount of $235,000, an increased amount from last year.

Credit conditions for buyers, and therefore for sellers, are strict.  Buyers who currently occupy their homes and want to purchase a new one not only must meet all those loan requirements, but satisfy the lender's requirement for at least 30% equity or more in their property. If your property is currently a rental, the property's equity may not be an issue assuming you have satisfied other lender conditions.

Find more local trends for houses and townhouse/condos in Los Angeles and Orange Counties including housing affordability, months of inventory, median sales price (now up at 5.9% at $450,000 for the region covered by this report), and local inventory amounts. Just go to my site for this local regional report that covers cities including Lakewood, Long Beach, Cerritos, Seal Beach, Huntington Beach, Newport Beach down to Aliso Viejo and Rancho Margarita, out to Yorba Linda and Placentia, and many more cities in between.  A more specific report is available by zip code (here is 90713 in Lakewood) or by city--this one is for Long Beach.

For a copy of your local report, please contact me and I will be happy to send it to you.

Some selected prices:  the highest median sales price in the local region:  Corona del Mar at $1,700,000; Cerritos, $499,900; Long Beach, $320,000; Signal Hill, $410,000; Cypress, $422,500.

Click on the link to see Dataquick's Southern California report for August. Do you want to find out your home's current value?

Please go to What is My Home Worth for more information.

When Am I Able to Buy Again?



Seasoning Requirements
 

The distressed property market began some time ago, and some people are beginning to wonder when they will be able to buy again.

Credit scores are important as well, depending on how severe the situation was and how long it will take to recover.

This is meant as a general guide only. 

For instance, if your short sale closed escrow in September of 2009, you could be eligible for an FHA loan, depending on your other loan criteria of course.  IF you have certain extentuating circumstances and were current on your mortgage at throughout the short sale, you may not have any waiting period for a new FHA loan.

To obtain a conventional FNMA loan, your waiting time is as early as 2 years after a short sale closed if you have 20% down payment.  And, for a FNMA loan, IF you can show certain extenuating circumstances, your wait might be only 3 years after a foreclosure.

Bankruptcy is one of the most damaging events to your credit, but if you work diligently to restore your credit as soon as possible, your wait could be much shorter in order to buy.  Paying bills on time and getting new credit established, perhaps by obtaining a secured credit card, are essential to improving your status as a good loan risk, according to John Walsh of Total Risk.

Please contact your lender (or I can refer you to one) for circumstances about your particular situation, because it may vary somewhat from the information here. Please contact me--I want to help you, even if you're not able to buy now.