A Market Snapshot for California Real Estate Activity for 2010 and 2011

The market predictions for 2011 were given out just prior to the California Association of Realtors Expo October 5-8, 2010.

The California median price for a single family house bottomed out in 2009 and in August 2010 the unsold inventory index was about 6.1 months, a market "normal". Unsold inventory by price is highest at the upper end of the market, and the lower end of the market is a 4 month supply. Affordability reached 70% in 2009 and 65% in 2010, meaning two out of three household can afford to buy an entry-level home in California. 

Median price for condos was $258,000 statewide, sales of condos were up in the Spring. First time homebuyers are 44% of the market, especially for condos. However, 20% down payment was the  median down payment statewide.

There are more non-distressed sellers coming on the market this year, comprising up to 59% of the market, while short sales are 22% of the market overall. Multiple offers (about 4) existed on 51% of properties in June, 2010. Sellers net about $35,000 in cash at close of escrow in 2010. FHA loans were used by 32% of all buyers.
Short sales or distressed property conditions were the reason for 29% of all sellers putting home on the market--a record number since the survey started.
Investors comprised about over 13% of purchasers, an active part of the economic recovery, while 5.3% were second home/vacation property purchases.
44% of buyers changed their minds after opening escrow, reflecting a great deal of fear and uncertainty about the market for many buyers.
2011 should bring a slight increase in sales volumeby 2% (to 502,000 units) and a slight increase in median home price of about 2% to $312,500 for the California median price. Interest rates are expected to remain low, with as much as a .5% increase in rates.

2011 should bring a prime opportunity to buy, but the actual number of move-up buyers and sellers is also of concern due to the number of owners with continuing negative equity in their homes who may hold off selling for a long period of time.

High cost loan limits ($729,750) will continue through September 2011, very important to the Califonria housing market, because the median home price is still significantly higher than the rest of the country.
Los Angeles County median home price is about $349,000, an increase of 2.8% over 2009. This is  also a reflection of the movement in the low end of the market where properties have moved much more rapidly than the high end where some prices have softened.


Overall, home prices in the state have either stabilized or improved.

The "shadow inventory" properties held by the banks are predicted to be in a 3-5 year window for the foreclosed properties to return to the normal market, but prices are likely to hold steady because it is not in the lenders' best interests to flood the market with properties.

There is upward movement in low-end prices where there is a lot of competition between first-time buyers and investors, more than in the $1,000,000-plus market where there is much more inventory.

Long Beach is a "microcosm" of the state -- high end areas over $1,000,000 and low end areas such as North Long Beach with a high proportion of distressed properties, and will probably mirror similar Los Angeles County area performances. The recovery for the city will not be uniform, and will be a reflection of its various internal markets.

Modest price appreciation in the future is a much more realistic expectation than the 20%-plus gains during the boom years which precipitated the market downturn.

"We expect a net jobs increase of approximately 1.4 million jobs in California for the year to come and an improvement in unemployment figures,” Leslie Appleton-Young (CAR) said.



From the California Association of Realtors annual Realtor survey and the Housing Market Forecast for 2011.

How Many Properties Under $300,000 in Long Beach?



Ocean Blvd Condo

Today, the Southern California MLS (combined with CARETS) shows 631 properties in all areas of Long Beach. This is more than June, 2009 (431) and less than December, 2008 (737).

There are 269 single family homes of which 38 are bank-owned and 136 are short sales, the majority are in North Long Beach.  There are 340 condos under $300k,  of which 48 are bank-owned and 182 are listed as short sales. There are 13 co-ops, 4 require short sale approval and 1 is lender-owned. There are only 9 OYOs, probably because many have converted to condominium status in recent years--only 1 requires short sale approval and none are listed as bank-owned.

From these 4 categories, it's clear that short sales constitute nearly 50% of the market in this price range, while bank-owned properties, while bank-owned properties are about 14% of this category in Long Beach.

If you the buyer submits an offer on a short sale, know that they require patience and the ability to wait. The seller wants to avoid a foreclosure, and can usually only do so by obtaining short sale approval from the bank, and counting on the buyer to stick around for the entire process. Buyers should understand all of the short sale addendum terms, and be clear about the waiting period you've agreed to--if there is no waiting period (number of days) inserted in the addendum, that means you're committed to waiting until either the bank says it's not approved, or the bank says it's approved--whichever is longer. In other words, agree to 90 days and if there's no approval by that time, then it's safe to cancel and move on. A 30-day escrow including bank approval would not be realistic for almost all properties.

This is the affordable range for many people, and it also attractors investors who have a lot of cash. Some properties give a 10-day period for owner-occupants to make offers, another reason why the buyer should be prepared in advance with loan approval and funds documentation to be ready to make that offer, assuming it's the property you want. Otherwise, try to find a property being sold by an equity seller.

The future will continue to feature distressed properties in one form or another: "Sales of distressed properties are set to peak in 2011 at 2.3 million transactions before falling to more normal levels at 850,000 in 2016, according to a report from John Burns Real Estate Consulting."  Does that mean prices will continue to fall? It all depends . . . on the area and local real estate. That's why you should keep up with prices in the area of your interest, and stay in touch with a good lender and a good Realtor who can keep you updated on recent sale prices, interest rates and current lending guidelines (which can change every few months or every few weeks).

Nearby cities of Cerritos, Lakewood and Signal Hill also have properties, ranging in number from 22-27 each, under $300,000--the vast majority are condominiums with a small sprinkling of houses. Norwalk, however, has 200 properties, the majority being single family homes, so this is another area of opportunity for those willing to live a little further inland.
To see all properties of interest to you, including income property, just go to my website property search at http://www.juliahuntsman.com/. 

Going Green: Recycle Your California Appliances

Is your refrigerator getting more expensive to run? I think mine is because it's now 10 years old, and my electricity usage is going up (but cleaning the coils can also lower electrical usage too). If you're going to replace them, don't dump your old appliances or have them hauled away before you check this program first. The California Energy Commission is behind the Cash4Appliances program. Click on the link for more information.

Don't dump your old appliances, instead, recycle them, and/or get a rebate through the listed partners if you bought from them. This includes Best Buy, Home Depot, Fry's, Howard's, Lowe's, and other major chains.  I unfortunately do not see Sears on this list (where I bought my refrigerator). This program applies to residential occupants, and landlords and tenants of residential properties.

This program started in April, 2010, and will continue until funds are gone. Per their website today, there is over $11,000,000 available in funds. This program includes your refrigerator, clothes washer, room air conditioner, freezers, dishwashers, certain water heaters, and certain furnaces. As of July 28, eligible energy efficient appliances and rebate amounts available are: refrigerators $200, clothes washers $100, and room air conditioners up to $50. California Cash for Appliance PLUS rebates include: dishwashers $100, freezers $50, water heaters $300-$750, and HVAC systems: $500-$1000.

Another source for recycling refrigerators is through Southern California Edison, which will remove your working refrigerator and pay $35.

FHA Loan Right After Short Sale?

Short sales are a problem for sellers who want to get into a new home right away. Besides the probable impact to your credit score and the issue or rebuilding it, there are normally the mortgage loan guidelines that require a waiting period of 2 or more years after a short sale, depending on the buyer and the loan.

But for certain buyers, there could be an option:  If you are a borrower who has not suffered delinquent loan payments, but has suffered a market devaluation of your current home, you could be eligible for an FHA loan immediately upon sale of your current home IF:

1. You aren't selling your home and buying a new one simply to take advantage of today's lower prices;
2. You purchase at a reduced price a similar or superior property within a reasonable commuting distance;
3. The short sale is for your primary residence.
4. You are current on your mortgage payments and no 30-day late payments.
5. Your home is not pre-foreclosure (with a Notice of Default recorded against it).
6. You have no late payments on installment debt prior to the short sale.

The borrower's reasons for selling would have to be approved on the new loan's underwriter, but for example, if you're moving for school reasons for your child, or job relocation reasons for yourself, perhaps this loan is for you.
Please give me a call or e-mail me to see if this would work for you!

Condo Prices in Bixby Knolls and Belmont Hts/Belmont Shore/Bluff Park

The August 2010 median sold price of a condo in 90807 (Bixby Knolls and adjacent areas) actually increased by $10,000--to $170,000--compared to August 2009. That's down, however, from the $240,000 condo median in April.  I chose this zip code because I actually underwent a first time experience ever of receiving a buyer's lender appraisal $20,000 less than the contract price. (This leads into issues about out-of-area appraisers and the AMCs, which will not be elaborated on here.) So therefore, it seemed a good idea to see what Clarus Data Metrics research revealed this month. The for-sale price in this zip code for condos shows an overall decrease in asking price by 23%, but an overall increase in selling price by 6%. December and April were two months of exceptionally high prices reaching up to the $300,000 median. The monthly number of units sold range from 4 to10 in the last 12 months, and the same range for properties in escrow each month over the last 12 months, currently up 75% from August 2009. The monthly total number of condos for sale ranges from 39 to 55 over the last 12 months.

The August 2010 median sold price of a condo in 90803 (Belmont Shore, Bluff Park, Naples, etc.) actually decreased by 4%, ranging in median price from $550,000 to about $275,000 over the last 12 months, with the current median being $326,000. The median asking price is currently $50,000 lower than August 2009. The number of sold properties for August--15 condos--is one of the two highest months for the past 12 months. The number of condos in escrow has fluctuated from 6 to 15 per month in the last year--currently the pendings are down (by 3 units) from July and down from August 2009. Currently there are 83 condos on the market in this zip code, the lowest number was 59 last January. So although supply is up, so is demand--9 sold in August 2009, 15 sold in August 2010.

Buyers and sellers should know that lending in condos means a review of owner occupancy ratio (less than 75% is a deal killer for some lenders, less than 51% is a deal killer for all lenders), the number of owners delinquent in their HOA dues (can't be more than 15%), and existing lawsuits are all items that come under review in their review of the association's documents. Other issues could be HOA reserve funds and signs of lack of common area maintenance.

FYI: "Median" is not the same as "average"--the median number divides the group into two equal halves: Half the properties sold were above $326,000 and half were under that price.

Any why are those cows there? Because they like to keep an eye on things too.

Advance Fees in California

Even though a law was passed in 2009 in California, there still seem to be advance fees being requested and sometimes paid for in exchange for certain services. Here is important language to read and understand, because there are people who are still trying to take advantage of homeowners who want a loan modification, loan modifications or attempts to avoid foreclosure that just don't work out. And the homeowner loses money.

It is illegal in California, as of October 11, 2009, for a lawyer, real estate broker, real estate salesperson, including corporations and companies, to demand or collect an upfront fee, retainer fee or other advance fee for loan modifications.  There have been, and continues to be, many people who have lost thousands of dollars through misplaced trust. And, if you have experienced this, please click on the link below to find out more about reporting to the Attorney General.

Remember, calling up your own bank is the first step to finding out about loan modifications. A property owner is able to do this on their own, although you may want the assistance of a consultant, because it can be an involved and lengthy process, depending on your bank. But there is no advance fee that can be charged, not until the close of escrow.

See the Dept of Real Estate story.

Tips for Increasing Your Home's Value

It's not unusual for a Realtor to hear a property owner say that their home is worth a certain amount because of a particular recent sale price of another house in their neighborhood. Many times the Realtor has a different opinion about the home's value than the property owner does, not because it ultimately couldn't, but because of the way it looks right now.

It's like selling a car: A prospective buyer is far more attracted to a pretty, shiny, vacummed-out, cleaned-up, polished car sitting out on the curb when they first pull up to take a look. They are far more ready to have a discussion about it, since it compares favorably or more favorably than most other cars they looked at, and a buyer is more ready at that point to believe the car has been well-maintained, which means it's worth more to them because there will be fewer repairs.  And this is the same approach owners need to take with their houses and yards. You probably wouldn't consider getting maximum value out of your car without putting some effort into its presentation--and you need to do the same with your home:

• Trim overgrown trees and bushes so that branches are at least 10 feet away from your roof -- and possibly include that same guideline for driveways, walkways, and outdoor sitting areas, or if vegetation visually obscures too much of your house so that it cannot be clearly seen from the street. Water your landscaping so that it looks green with no bare spots, and remove dead plants.
• Consider having the house power-washed--it may eliminate a paint job (unless you have the next issue). This should be done only by a professional.
• Touch up peeling paint. Not only is this an "attractiveness" issue, it signals negative messages about maintenance, and is also an FHA loan condition issue for an FHA buyer.
• Have a professional inspect your roof and replace curled or missing shingles. Remaining life-expectancy is important, especially if most of the nearby roofs are much newer looking. Stains and plant matter such as moss can be removed with a cleaning. Considering that total roof replacement could be up to $20,000, a roof in poor condition could make your house appraise lower.
• Routine maintenance and cleaning eliminates setting off alarms: repair gutters, obtain a pest/mold inspection report annually, replace missing bricks, repair exposed wood beams and window frames, remove or repair deteriorated gates and fencing.
• Colorful plantings in the are a minimal investment, but will do much to show off your yard and your home.

It's important to remember that the money invested now will help you obtain a higher price from the buyer, and will help to eliminate value issues when the buyer's appraiser comes out to see your property during escrow. Many times sellers overestimate the amount required to prepare -- this amount will also depend on how much deferred maintenance you have and your budget. Spending $2000-$5000 dollars may bring you another $10,000-$15,000 in price, or at least help your house sell faster if your market is sluggish. Attempting to sell without any preparation could affect offering price, impact negotations during escrow if the buyer discovers further issues through their physical inspection and decides to walk away, and/or impact the appraisal. 

You can find more information on the Landscaping checklist and at the HouseLogic tab at the top of this blog.

The Economic Impact from a California Home Sale

While at a meeting yesterday, I heard a statement from another attendee that somewhere between 30-50% of California's job market has been directly affected by the change in the housing market in this state--the local closings of some long-established independant businesses and the empty storefronts are a testimony to that.

When the prices of the housing market were out of reach of many buyers, I frequently heard and read statements about what a good thing it would be if housing prices dropped "back where they should be." But nothing happens in a vacuum, and when housing prices fell, so did the rest of the economy. The activity generated through the sale of one residential property conducted through a REALTOR® in California may impact up to 40 different occupations, starting with the buyer's lender and its employees and underwriters, appraisal services, escrow officer and affiliated company, title company representatives and employees, home warranty company, MLS employees, all the internet and print advertising services for marketing the property and which help to attract the buyer, accountants and attorneys connected to the transaction, home stagers whose services may be critical to helping sell the property at current market price, insurance agent, messenger companies, home construction contractors, moving truck services, property managers, car rental companies, to name some of those closer to the "ripple" effect. All of these occupations serve vital connections to a real estate transaction, and moreover, a Realtor usually has requirements to assist or coordinate with many of these participants, each of which has its own job to do. Without a home sale, many people are literally "out of the swim".

Information reported in 2009 from National Association of Realtors, Bureau of Economic Analysis and Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies shows that when one home is sold in California, the income generated from real estate related industries $49,383.00, the additional expenditures on furniture, paint, and applicances is $5,331.00. Also, there is addtional economic multiplier impact as greater spending on charity, sports events and restaurants estimated to be $26,263.00. The new home production value, estimated at one new home constructed for 8 existing home sales,  is $68,588.  The total income derived from the sale of one California home (report used an earlier CA median price of $548,700--currently $311,950 for a single family home as of June, 2010) is $149,564. The National Association of Home Builders has estimated that nationally, approximately $8,900 is spent on home furnishings and improvements within 12 months following a home sale. In other words, what happens to the housing industry happens to a lot of people.

Houses in Long Beach for July: Prices Softer, Sales Volume Up

July in Long Beach was a pretty busy month for single family home sales but it also saw a lowering of the median price: 196 sold at an overall median of $360,000, down from $380,000 and $375,000 from the prior two months, and down 5% from July, 2009.  The July average for sold-price-to-list-price was 98%, with a low of 72%.

The peak for the last 12 months was $415,000 in November, 2009. The median list price, however, has steadily increased since December, 2009, and is up 4% from one year ago, with 1,234 single family homes currently on the market citywide. And, total number of SFRs in escrow is up 42% since one year ago and at 276 houses, is at the highest number under contract in the last 12 months. But, expired properties in all price ranges were at the highest number in the last 12 months, while the months' supply of inventory is at the lowest in the last 12 months. It has never been more important to price the house right and make the right improvements for showing.

A quick search on the MLS shows that today, there are 528 single family houses in escrow, and 434 of them are under $500,000, and 94 are listed over $500,001.  See the entire report for single family houses.

What Happens to Your Sale If You Don't Pay Your HOA Dues?

Many owners these days are having financial problems, and decide to stop making payments on both their mortgage and their homeowner association dues. They may later decide to sell as a short sale, do all their document submission to the lender, list their property, find an eligible buyer who is willing to wait, and look forward to opening escrow and getting it sold. And, common to many sellers, they stopped making payments several months prior, so now a significant dollar amount in delinquent HOA dues has built up--hundreds and even thousands of dollars are in arrears.

In California an HOA may initiate foreclosure on a property after 18 months of nonpayment (but then they take over all associated mortgage and other costs of that unit), but before that, an association after a few months of nonpayment may instruct its attorneys to file a lien. If a lien exists at the close of escrow, then it will raise the issue of getting it paid off prior to close, or delaying the close of escrow--and in a short sale, lenders may impose additional fees for not closing by the specified date. If the seller does not have the money to pay it off--this will include the dues, late fees and attorney fees--then perhaps the buyer would be willing to contribute, but if the buyer cannot or will not, then that particular escrow will not go forward. And if you have a Notice of Sale on your property already, the lender may no be willing to extend and wait for a new buyer--it just depends on the lender.

Another wrinkle for a closing is even if delinquent dues can be paid off at closing, the number of delinquent owners in the association may exceed the lender's guidelines, and now there's another reason it may not close escrow--for any owner. Non-payment of dues may force other HOA members to pay special assessments to make up for the loss of income, which may be a hardship for many owners who are struggling to stay current because of their own loss of income or job cutback issues. This may actually increase the number of delinquent owners.

Contrary to what many short sale sellers assume, lenders will not pick up all HOA costs, and many banks completely disallow any HOA costs in their approval, and that includes move-in, move-out fees, and provision of HOA documents to escrow as asked for in the contract, a total potential cost of up to $500 or more per transaction. Another potential outcome is that the owner will be pursued later by the association with a judgment filed against them. And I've also read that some bank approval terms are "requiring" buyers to pay the delinquency at closing, which is driving them away from the transaction.

So if the seller can't pay now because of all their financial problems, one option would be 1) to approach the association with a request to negotiate them down to what is possible, or 2) request a forbearance agreement and work out a payment plan over time. These are much better options for an owner who wants to do a short sale and avoid foreclosure.

The last piece of advice is that the homeowner should obtain legal advice. But unfortunately many people don't do that because that would be another bill to pay, so they look up information on the internet instead, which won't tell them about their specific situation. Find a legal clinic or some source of local legal advice which will be a resource. If you just decide to stop paying your HOA dues, it could ultimately cost you more than you think.

June's Median Price Showing An Increase in Long Beach/Lakewood Area

Single family median price in Long Beach

The median price in Long Beach for a single family home has gone up for June 2010 to $370,000, with a total of 205 homes sold in this category for the month. This is a general increase from the $353,000 median in June 2009. The number of days on the market is trending downward gradually, the current average is 66 days, compared to 72 last year. Of course, this is a broad figure designed only to show a general trend, since prices vary from local area averages of $250,000 to well over $1,400,000 in single family homes in Long Beach.

Lakewood single family median price

It's a similar story for the City of Lakewood, a smaller city conceived of through city planning in the 1950's and with not so much diversity in housing inventory and selling prices as Long Beach. In June of this year, the single family home median price was $400,000 compared to $375,000 last year.

Los Angeles County as a whole shows the same trend for single family homes: $342,000 this year, $326,000 last year, for the months of June (however, that's a drop from May 2010 median which was $350,000).

Condos in Long Beach are still not as strong as houses, but overall, offer a great investment while their prices are still lower. The median at $232,500 for the city has risen 2% from last year, but has fluctuated greatly in that time, with days on market currently at 96, lower than last year's 108.  The lowest days on market of 66 was in October 2009, matching end of year buying but mostly the 1st expiration of the $8000 tax credit. For Los Angeles County, the condo median dropped to $315,000 from $360,000 one year ago.

The Current Market is Offering Incredibly Low Interest Rates!

This afternoon I did an interesting calculation because I was playing around with a feature on my website. First of all, did you know interest rates are well below 5% on a 30-year fixed, even as low as 4.25%? Second of all, do you expect that to last forever? It's lower than any rate since the 1960's and before, and certainly lower than any rate in the last 15 years since I've been helping buyers and sellers.


I did this calculation for my 2 bedroom/2 bath condo in Bixby Knolls which is currently listed at $182,500. The default down payment was 20%, the default interest rate was 6%, so using those numbers for calculate principal and interest (only), the monthly payment came out to be $875.34. (That's the price of a one-bedroom rental in some areas.) But knowing that interest rates are much lower right now, I changed the assumptions to 4.25% and assuming an FHA buyer, I used 3.5% down, and based on a loan amount of $176,112.50, the monthly P&I payment came to approx $866.37!! (Please do not use this scenario for your final loan calculations as disclosed by a lender, this is intended for general information only.)

In other words, with lower interest rates right now a buyer could be saving the difference between $6387 and $36,500 to get the practically same payment for less money compared to the higher interest rates of just 1 and 2 years ago.

Back to my earlier point: it won't last forever, so why not take advantage of the market now if your only reason is that you're "waiting"?

I am here to help you with finding a new property, so I hope you'll let me do that, because you will be helping yourself!

Owners Have Options, But What is Best?

There have been numerous programs designed to assist the distressed homeowner launched under the Obama Administration. Most recent is the July 1, 2010 Home Affordable Unemployment Program (HAUP) designed to reduce, or suspend mortgage payments for at least 3 months, in coordination with the loan servicer's guidelines. The loan must be under $729,750 and originated on or before January 1, 2009, and must be in default already, or almost there. Monthly mortgage payment must be reduced to less than or equal to 31% of the borrower’s gross monthly household income and may be suspended in full. Borrowers who went through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) are not eligible, but a loan modification program may be put in place for the HAUP borrower once a job is found.

The programs available to borrowers are:

• Home Affordable Unemployment Program (HAUP)
• Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) - among the requirements is that the existing loan cannot be more than 125% of the current market value of the property, and must be an owner-occupied 1-4 unit property.
• Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) - A prime requirement, among several, is that it can be a property with either one or two loans on it, but the payment on the first loan (P.I.T.I.) must not exceed 31% of the gross monthly income of the borrower. Many borrowers have had trouble meeting that payment-to-income percentage figure, and then do not qualify for that loan mod.
• Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternative Program (HAFA) - This is a program with specific forms, guidelines and timelines and must be offered to the borrower by the participating bank if the HAMP loan mod has failed. There are certain protections and benefits to the qualified borrower under this program, but one problem has been the 2nd lien holders who refused to participate because they may not receive as high a payoff under this program. The buyer of such a property must also cooperate with certain timelines.

Lenders who chose to participate in one program are required to participate in all of them, which is currently about 140 lenders. IMPORTANT: To find out if your lender is, go to http://www.makinghomeaffordable.com/contact_servicer.html. Read about other aspects of these programs at http://www.makinghomeaffordable.com/.

If you have an FHA or VA loan, those loans will have their own version of this program.

Last, but definitely not least: Borrowers in distress who understandably do not want to give up their home, normally have a very difficult time "putting their foot down" on the subject of just how long they will attempt to pursue a loan modification with their bank before giving up. While some servicers are more responsive and are actively working with their borrowers, there are many others who are falling between the cracks.

 If a borrower has lost their job and is concurrently in a job search while attempting to pursue a loan mod that's already been started, or if a borrower keeps hearing that the bank needs an item that the borrower has already submitted, perhaps multiple times, or if the bank or servicer keeps adding new items required before it can give an answer to the borrower, my advice is: BORROWER BEWARE. The fact is, time is slipping away--you have no loan modification, plus you may now have a notice of default recorded on your property, and then the notice of sale will be posted to your door shortly before your 121 days are up. Some banks are taking their time recording a Notice of Default, but others are very unforgiving and will NOT extend your sale date without either the loan modification in place or an accepted contract from a buyer, because they need to move forward with that property. For most people, selling their property under short sale conditions has less severe long-term impact than going through foreclosure. Please contact me for more information about those conditions.

Please, don't let foreclosure sneak up on you while you keep telling yourself you're going to get the loan modification after you just send in one more piece of requested information. You must meet the servicer's requirements, and many people don't qualify due to financial circumstances. Before you get to that stage, investigate an optional short sale possibility early while you still have time to find a buyer, negotiate the contract, submit your short sale package, and get through escrow. This could make the difference between 2-3 years' impact on your credit record vs. 7 years' impact due to foreclosure.

There Ought To Be A(nother) Law

Short sales have been here and are here in large numbers for quite a while into the future. Many lenders are getting better in certain respects about speeding up their responses, even if it's not a HAFA program which does have numerous requirements, in their regular short sales. There can be many aspects and issues in a short sale depending on the bank or servicing company involved, if a notice of default has been filed, if a notice of sale date is already set, if the HOA dues are delinquent, how many lienholders there are, to name a few.

But what is one thing that's going on a lot? Second position mortgage lienholders who are refusing to accept the payoff from the first, and decide instead they would rather have their investors get nothing rather than something. So typically these 2nd lien negotiators, who are probably looking at a computer screen bearing instructions from their bosses, are allowing the entire property to go into foreclosure over a failure of $5,000-$10,000. Many do not want to deal with the HAFA program, due to the few thousand dollars obtainable under that program, nor even 10% payoff offers from the first, so their response is to say they will take nothing rather than something, and let it go into foreclosure, presumably under the belief they will be able to come back and get it later. What many servicers may not understand is that in certain states, such as California, they have no deficiency rights after foreclosusre when the loan was original purchase money mortgage on a principal residence.

And so what do we need? I know we have plenty of laws, but we need another one. We need another law that prevents junior lienholders from obstructing the successful completion of a short sale:

"...passing legislation barring junior lien holders from preventing a short sale and forcing a foreclosure would be wildly beneficial to the heart of America. It would keep homes occupied, free up capital, curb the slide in property values and it wouldn’t cost the taxpayers, or anyone else, a dime."

Also, as Lawrence Belland says on Foreclosure Radar:

"... in 37 other states the investor could accept the offer and still have the right to pursue the deficiency. That’s why forcing the foreclosure doesn’t make sense to me; it defies logic."

Second lienholders always knew they were just that, in second position. They were all too willing to make loans, and others have been very willing to buy them up, based on the continuing inflation in the subprime market. They just don't like to face reality now.
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Interest Rates at Mostly Lowest of Historic Lows--This is Money In Your Pocket

One perspective many buyers and sellers (who are able to sell now) could benefit from right now is the long-term historical perspective to realize just what this point in time can mean for them. While many articles may directly address buyers, the flip side is for the sellers who are looking for the right buyer, and the more buyers that fit in a seller's net, the greater chance each party has for a successful catch . . . I mean, sale!
I could hardly say the following points better, so I'm just going to give you Pat Zaby's post on buying,

You Can Afford to Buy and Haven't...Are You Crazy?

This may be the best buyer's market that we'll see in our lifetimes. There are lots of legitimate reasons why a person should be taking advantage of this market if they are able.
Obviously, if a person doesn't have the down payment or credit score, they won't be able to seize this opportunity. If a person is concerned about losing their job, that would be a valid reason for not buying now. If you are planning on relocating in the next year or two, maybe now isn't the time to buy.

On the other hand, if a person doesn't own a home, has good credit and job stability, they should seriously consider capitalizing on this unique combination of opportunities. A qualified real estate professional can explain all of the reasons and even suggest some very interesting financing alternatives.

Top Ten Reasons to Buy a Home NOW

Interest rates incredibly low – the rates are hovering at near historic lows. Interest rates play a huge part in the cost of housing together with the price and shouldn't be overlooked. The average mortgage interest rates for the past four decades were: 1970's 8.9%; 1980's 12.7%; 1990's 8.1%; 2000's 6.3%. Most experts agree that they're going to rise this year.

Lower Prices - Recent price adjustments have made good values that haven’t been available in some situations for years. Current buyers are able to take advantage of the discounted prices.

Selection is good – In a seller's market, buyers sometimes have to accept a home that may not meet their needs completely because of short supply. Inventories in most markets and certain price ranges are higher which allow buyers better choices.

Negotiate financing concessions – FHA, VA, and Conventional allow the seller to contribute towards financing concessions for the buyer. The money can be used for buyer's closing costs, pre-paid items or interest rate buy down.

Costs for FHA loan going up – Currently, a seller can pay up to 6% of the sales price in financing concessions but the number will be reduced to 3% later this year; the date has not been announced yet. The annual MIP for FHA loans will also probably be going up this year which will increase the monthly payment. Buyers who get in now will pay the lower fees.

Interest and property tax deduction – the U.S. is one of the few countries in the world that allow an interest and property tax deduction for homeowner/taxpayers.

Source of funds with deductible interest - a homeowner can borrow up to $100,000 above their acquisition debt and deduct the interest regardless of what purpose the money is used. This is a great opportunity to consolidate debt at a lower interest rate and be able to make the interest deductible that otherwise may not have been.

Capital gain exclusion – the U.S. allows qualified homeowners to make a profit on their home without having to pay tax on the gain.

Borrowing against equity is non-taxable event – taking money out of the equity in your home does not require recognizing capital gains income.

The combination of reasons to buy a home may never be stronger than now.

Interest rates are going up; it is just a matter of when. Inventories are starting to be absorbed by current demand. New home construction is down considerably which could lead to higher prices due to not enough annual housing units to keep up with the population. Prices have started to climb in some markets; others will surely follow.

A basic rule of investing is to buy low and sell high. There will be some buyers who take advantage of the current opportunities and will look back and remark how fortunate they were to act when they did. There will be others who look back on these conditions and say "We should have bought then." Hindsight is always 20/20. Evaluating the present and acting takes equally clear vision. The help of a trusted professional can make the difference. (reprinted with permission by Pat Zaby; emphases in bold and italics are mine)

In the meantime, the federal tax credit for $8000 is over, and the California tax credit is almost gone, the FHA seller negotiation cap will be reduced soon, but right now, a buyer with good credit will probably get an interest rate under 5% and even 4.5% in some cases, meaning over the life of a 30-year loan, you can save thousands of dollars.

And, most Americans just don't realize this, but this country is one of the few that allows a 30-year loan, most other countries require payment in 1/3 to 1/2 that time.
To easily find properties on the market, go to http://www.juliahuntsman.com/, "Find Properties".

Long Beach Has Several Farmers Markets, Find One Here

Sunday  from 9 a.m to 2 p.m. is a great time for visiting the Long Beach Farmer's Market at the Marina. Held weekly in the parking lot on Sundays, it's got vegetables, hot cooked food, orchids, fresh cut flowers, baked goods, and animal adoption opportunities too. To name a few. Plenty of parking as well. Farmers/vendors come from as far as Riverside and Bakersfield to set up booth every week. Prices are sometimes no cheaper (in my opinion) for some food items than the grocery store, but are a lot fresher and direct to the buyer, and one of the really great benefits is having a great variety of food to choose from.

This particular market is adjacent to the ongoing 2nd+PCH project still being planned and negotiated, so someday the landscape here might look very different with new development, especially across the street. Take advantage of this now and check other farmers markets at Bixby Knolls, Downtown and one at Marina Park on Wednesday afternoons (not on the link), and in the city of Cerritos. And it's BYOB, Bring Your Own Bag.
And, haven't we become so used to foods flown in from foreign countries that we might have forgotten our local growing seasons? See this crop calendar for California.

Long Beach Single Family Houses in May Are in Demand

Single family homes in Long Beach seem to be the one property type showing some consistency in price and numbers of sales recently. At the end of May, the median price of houses currently on the market was up 5% over last May, going from $375,000 to $395,000; while the median price of sold properties was up 28% compared to May 2009. The peak for sold price was in November, not surprisingly, as the initial homebuyer tax credit was scheduled to expire in December. The trend dropped in December, but the median list price and sold price has trended upward since then. Time will tell if the current tax credit extended to April 1, and the extended period to close until September 30, will show a similar peak, or will there continue to be activity?
I keep saying this, but many buyers, especially first-timers, don't realize that low mortgage rates (currently as low as 4.5% paying one point) is actually a price drop on your home. And for condo buyers who are seeing higher HOA fees compared to 5-8 years ago, a lower mortgage rate can make up for higher monthly fees. Plus, the borrower pays much less on the total loan over a 30-year period. See the entire May single family report.
Condos seem to see more peaks and valleys in the last year, with the median price of currently listed condos being down 2%, to $235,000 from $239,000 in May 2009, and the median price of solds is up10%, $200,000 to $220,000, since May 2009, with the overall supply of condo inventory now trending down for the last several months.

Price and Value -- It's Increasing for Southern California Lately

The buyers' tax credit had an effect: There were more sales. And the low mortgage rates are helping (below 5% with paying one point). Per Dataquick, May sales of houses and condos in Southern California were the highest since May 2006: "...what we saw in May was partly driven by government stimulus".  May's typical monthly mortgage on new purchases was approximately $1293 -- do you remember when it was about $2200?--but that's still an increase from 2 years ago. Home flipping is trending higher--current rules require an investor to wait 90 days. Sales volume is up in Los Angeles and Orange Counties in this category, and so is the median price: $345,000 and $450,000. Although houses and condos cannot be compared across the board in all ways, nor can all geographic areas, this seems to be an overall general trend in price and sales. And, buyers who paid all cash account for over 24% of May sales. That's 10% higher than the 23-year monthly average.  This is not news to those buyers who have submitted offer after offer and continually lose out in the median price range. Will this trend hold, and how much had to do with the tax credit, which ended April 30th?
California Association of Realtors reports that April sales (May's report not out yet) for single family homes statewide increased 21% over previous April, to $306,230, but sales volume decreased statewide by 8.1% from prior April for SFRs. From C.A.R. on May 24th, "Large changes in local median home prices typically indicate both local home price appreciation, and often, large shifts in the composition of housing market activity. Some of the variations in median home prices for April may be exaggerated due to compositional changes in housing demand." So, in other words, real estate is local.

Just Listed: Three-unit Property in a Long Beach Historic District

This 1920's vintage triplex is located just inside the Hellman Street Craftsman Historic District at 761 Walnut Ave. The front building has two side-by-side townhome-style units with hardwood floors and Arts and Crafts era tiled faux fireplaces with original built-in bookcases, natural wood. One unit has an updated kitchen. Rear unit is a one-bedroom over garage, laundry room (currently not used) at rear of garage. Very charming private rear yard with patio and gazebo, partially fenced.

Current asking price is $405,000.
Please contact me for more information on this property.

What Do the Experts Say (About the Home Buying Market?)

As we are going towards the second half of the year, and entering our summer period with the Memorial Day holiday weekend, I have to ask:

Do YOU think the real estate market has nowhere to go except for DOWN? You're not the first one! History proves that even the experts have had it all wrong, time and time again. Consider these quotes from history’s “experts”:

#1. "Houses cost too much for the mass market. Today's average price is out of reach for two-thirds of all buyers."

#2. "The goal of owning a home seems to be getting beyond the reach of more and more buyers."

#3. "If you are looking to buy, be careful. Rising home values are not a sure thing anymore.

#4. "Most economists agree.... a home will become little more than a roof and a tax deduction, certainly not the lucrative tax investment it once was..."

#5. "Financial planners agree that houses will continue to be a poor investment.

#6. "A home is where the bad investment is.

Below is a list of sources and publishing dates from the quotes, above:

#1. Science Digest 1948
#2. Business Week 1969
#3. Miami Herald 1985

#4. Money Magazine 1986

#5. Kiplinger's Personal Finance Magazine 1993

#6. San Francisco Examiner 1996

You can be the judge. If this is what the "experts" were saying throughout the years.... do you really think there is ever a truly bad time to own a home?
Don't get spooked out of buying or owning a home. Real estate is still a great investment..... history tells us so! I look forward to hearing from you soon.
(Courtesy Joe Tishkoff, Skyline Financial.)

Find residential real estate and income properties at http://www.juliahuntsman.com/, click on my property search.
For headlines about California market trends, go to http://www.car.org/media/pdf/consumer/Beyond_the_Headlines__052710.pdf .

HAVE A SAFE HOLIDAY.

New Listing: Bixby Knolls Condo 2 bedroom 2 bath - One of the Area Lowest Prices

The seller is still working to get ready for showing, but this Bixby Knolls condo is a great value at $180,000 for a front end unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms and no one below. This is a great value in an FHA approved building. Has one parking space in gated garage with storage.

No interior photos yet, will include those in it goes into the MLS at the end of the month.

Interior features are kitchen area Pergo flooring, new kitchen counters, lots of kitchen/dining storage cupboards, and new dishwasher. Seller is freshening up with new paint, and bathroom has new tile floors.

The complex is conveniently located near the 405 FWY and the Bixby Knolls and Atlantic Ave. shopping/restaurant corridor. HOA dues are about $225 monthly. Complex has very nice pool and patio area, and community laundry. One parking space. This is an equity sale!

Call me to find out more about this property. 3510 Elm, #1, Long Beach, CA.

Find this and more properties at http://www.juliahuntsman.com/

Julia Huntsman, Broker, e-PRO®, SFR, REALTOR®

562-896-2609. CA DRE #01188996

Seller, Please Take Yourself Out of the Picture

At Awkward Family Photos there's one thing you can see a lot of--the kind of kids pictures and engagement photos you really don't want showing on your walls when your property is on the market. I don't know what the people at the left were thinking of, and the photo at the right was showing off the kids modeling Dad's cabinetry with a much-loved family pet.

I know what you're thinking: That you don't have anything as crazy as these photos on your walls because your photos show much better taste. After all, they were taken by an expensive portrait photographer showing the close family gathered in formal attire in a classic setting as a beautiful holiday memoir--nothing goofy about that. Why wouldn't you want to proudly show off your family for buyers coming through your home?

Well, in a nutshell, photos in your home may represent you and your family members in a very personal way, and buyers read clues about you and possibly make opinions which may not help sell your home. Even if they do identify, or sympathize, with the Star Trek outfits because they have the same picture on their bookcase, is this the focus of their seeing your home? Because personal objects are usually a distraction to the buyer, a detour into personal aspects of the seller's live(s)that is best avoided if you want an offer soon. You want to present your property, not you and your family, to get it sold as quickly as possible for the best price. You are now selling a product, as cold as that may sound, into which the buyers are trying to see their pictures, furniture, etc. So, sellers, so after seeing the photos voluntarily submitted by those who are having a good laugh at themselves, http://www.awkwardfamilyphotos.com/ , then go around your home and take yourselves out of it as much as possible, so that someone else can put themselves into it. Oh yes, thanks for California Association of Realtors for leading me to this entertaining site. I might submit a photo or two myself.

The Return of the 5% and 10% Down Payment on Conventional Loans

This is welcome news for borrowers (up to $417,000) whose only option was FHA if they didn't have 10% or 20% down payment funds. This is also welcome news for sellers of single family homes because buyers whose loan amount is $417,000 or less may now borrow with a 5% down payment. Yes, we know there are cash buyers out there with that amount of money, because the FHA buyers in the Southern California market have regularly been beaten down by the all cash buyers or 50% down buyers. But assuming the borrower is well qualified, pre-approved with a lender with a track record (and I mean fully pre-approved), and motivated, a seller may well want to seriously consider such a committed prospect who as a great desire to purchase his/her first home.

And, also in the good news department, is the return of the 10% down conventional loan for condos. This has been almost impossible to get in recent history from most lenders, and this is good news for sellers also, because it relieves the issue of an FHA borrower whose lender may well have to fully approve the entire association before closing escrow. Not only is this time consuming and requires a lot of work by both the lender and the homeowner association, the HOA may not, in the end, meet FHA standards criteria. In fact, sellers, did you know that if your association has 5% or more owners delinquent 30 days or more in their HOA dues payments, there is a problem with loan qualification.  This is true for both FHA and conventional loans.
But back to the good news. For associations which can overcome any such issues, the 10% down conventional loan opens up the door for many more borrowers and thus a faster sale for the seller.
So if you're thinking of selling, contact me for all your possibilities. Buyers who have been holding off should get rolling while interest rates are still in the 5% area (that's usually included paying one point of the loan amount).

Right now there are 349 single family homes listed in the MLS in Long Beach under $438,000 (for the 5% down buyer). In Lakewood, there are 96 single family homes under $438,000.  No, they don't have ocean views, but find them in east Long Beach, Wrigley, Ridgewood Heights, Alamitos Beach for Long Beach, and Lakewood Park and Lakewood Mutuals for City of Lakewood, plus other areas that might be worth your investigation especially if you are a first time buyer, or looking for a down sized smaller home.
Please find these different areas at http://www.juliahuntsman.com/ by clicking on links from the first page (scroll down first).

House and Condo Selling Prices in Long Beach for April 2010

Was April the month of the "Effect of the IRS Tax Credit"?  While I've been telling some people that the median price of condos, townhomes and lofts was still trending downward, for the city as a whole, it's been trending upward, by quite a bit. Truthfully, it's been jumping around all over the place. March and April saw increases from the prior year, with April showing a 25% increase in median price from last year to over $240,000, but not as high as September, 2009's median price of $255,000.

A similar graph for single family homes for April shows a 10% increase in the median price for Long Beach, to $370,000, with a different peak in price showing for last November at over $400,000 (the first "end" of the IRS buyer tax credit). For Los Angeles County in March, per tax data, condos priced at $325,000, a decrease from $330,000 in March 2009.

The median price for the city does not tell the entire story, and anyone wishing an analysis of their zip code or housing area should contact me for a custom report. For Los Angeles County per tax data, the single family home median price for March 2010 was at $340,000, an increase from $303,000 for March 2009.

Sales volume for LA County in March in both categories increased over the prior year.

Long Beach, just by looking at these statistics, is definitely looking like the "bright spot" as described recently by CAR economist Leslie Appleton-Young.

Buying Without Selling? Equity Will be a Player.

If you're thinking of buying a new home and renting out your current home, it will pay to plan in advance. By asking a few questions, you will start to shed light on an important subject.
 For instance, do you know your current rental market and what a reasonable rent could be expected for your property? By checking local classified ads and online rental sources, plus speaking with other local owners who are landlords, you should be able to find out fairly easily. Will that amount cover your current payment, plus property taxes, plus HOA dues, if a condo? If it doesn't you need to know what your negative cash flow will be (the amount extra every month that you will have to contribute out of your income) every month. Then, by speaking with a mortgage professional about pre-approval for a new home purchase, after a discussion about your income, debts and expenses, plus that possible negative cash flow, you will soon find out if this plan will work. And, there's another wrinkle: Since the subprime market debacle, lenders have increasingly formulated tighter lending guidelines, and one of them is that a current property needs to have a good 30% equity in it to meet a more recent lender requirement, and without that equity, there will will be no loan approval on that basis alone for a new purchase. Unless the borrower can qualify for a new purchase based on his complete monthly expenses, excluding tenant contributions, plus the new mortgage. This requirement came about to eliminate loans to borrowers who, due to falling home prices and a potential short sale, walked away from their former residences after closing escrow on a new home.

This means that if you're hoping to obtain a loan modification, but are not sure about how long you'll be living there (when do we ever know the future for sure?), it will pay to think in advance about your loan-to-value. The reality is, many borrowers do not meet that 30% standard, (see this blog in Seattle) and can't otherwise qualify, and thus are forced into thinking about a short sale (or even other options, depending on their circumstances), which in turn impacts how soon you may be able to borrow again in the future. FNMA actually revised their standards a few days ago, loosening the timeline to 2 years to buy after a short sale for borrowers with 20% down, and longer for those with a lower down payment. This is an improvement, and for those who can revive their credit scores and save money in that time, it will mean a good recovery.

For an estimate for your property, contact a Realtor to provide you with a comparable market evaluation at no obligation. It would also be a great time to discuss all options which could be open to you, find out future ramifications. This is the time to find out. Find current properties in your area at the MLS search at www.juliahuntsman.com, as well as other resource information. Or contact me for recent "sold" properties to establish a value for your property. To keep up with the local area, also see my page at http://www.facebook.com/LongBeachHomesandCondos .

Why Some Loan Modifications Are So Hard to Get

So far, only 17% of borrowers nationally have completed a loan modification and made it through the trial payment period under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) guidelines. One of the problems is that the HAMP guidelines only factor in the payments made on the 1st mortgage, and do not include the borrower's 2nd mortgage if there is one, which is often up to 20% of the original purchase value, and other total family expenses.  Fewer borrowers can qualify, and thus end up in foreclosure anyway.

But there are other reasons too, which may have to do with why you, the borrower, or you the Realtor, keep faxing in requested documents and short sale packages, over and over after the people at the bank say they never received it, or it got lost. Or why the bank foreclosed anyway, even though it had a viable buyer and a loan ready to fund one day before the sale date.  Sometimes lenders really don't want to modify a loan.

There is such a thing as Net Present Value (NPV) a complex model designed for HAMP to be used by lenders and loan servicers which is to determine if the borrower meets certain tests. However, the input criteria for those tests is not disclosed to the public. So if a borrower calls up his/her (HAMP) bank at the bank's or servicer's designated number and receives the response that they do not qualify for a loan modification, it may be because the representative is using the NPV software program which performs automatic calculations.  The FDIC, however, did publish their NPV model, shown on page 3.

If you are a borrower and want to know if you can avoid a long long wait to find out from your bank if you qualify for a loan modification under HAMP guidelines based on the NPV model for which the government is allegedly unwilling to publish the critical parameters, then you might want to try out Martin Andelman's offer to use his software which he says is using HAMP guidelines.
If your bank thinks your home is worth more than your current loan balance, it will not have a lot of incentive to modify your loan because it will pay them to go into foreclosure, and then put it back on the market as an REO.  And another stickler in the side of the Obama Administration are the investors who bought securitized mortgages that were sold in bundles, by Well Fargo to Goldman Sachs as one example, and now those investors are a player in the whether or not your loan gets modified:

The names of investors who actually buy mortgage-backed securities aren’t publicly available, but typically they can be foreign governments, 401(k)s, college endowments and pension funds. . . . "there could be literally anywhere from one to commonly several dozen institutional investors, and those institutional investors will be representing literally thousands of pensioners and individual investors,” says Bill Frey, head of Greenwich Financial Services.

And banks say they may have agreements with those investors, and may say they are the reason a certain loan cannot be done, but may also be unwilling to provide specific information about their "agreements."

There is more to this story, but if you are a borrower attempting to get a loan modification, be aware that not all banks are letting the timelines go by beyond what's required by law for issuing a Notice of Default and a Notice of Sale. Banks are not chartered to hold real estate, even though many are doing just that. Do not be afraid to contact a qualified tax advisor, an attorney who specializes, and/or a Realtor about your options concerning foreclosure, a short sale, or bankruptcy. The best of all possible worlds for most people is to get their loan modified, but are you going to be one of the 17% who do, and how long are you willing to wait to find out?